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The aim of this paper is to examine the time scaling of the semivariance when returns are modeled by various types of jump-diffusion processes, including stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and in volatility. In particular,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-06 Rodrigue Oeuvray , Pascal Junod

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen

Advanced measurement techniques and high performance computing have made large data sets available for a wide range of turbulent flows that arise in engineering applications. Drawing on this abundance of data, dynamical models can be…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-05-06 Armin Zare , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Mihailo R. Jovanović

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

Let $\Gamma$ denote the space of all locally finite subsets (configurations) in $\mathbb R^d$. A stochastic dynamics of binary jumps in continuum is a Markov process on $\Gamma$ in which pairs of particles simultaneously hop over $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy , Eugene Lytvynov

Building upon factor decomposition to overcome the curse of dimensionality inherent in multivariate volatility processes, we develop a factor model-based multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) framework. We propose a two-stage estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-24 Benjamin Poignard , Manabu Asai

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

Sensitivity analysis of multibody systems computes the derivatives of general cost functions that depend on the system solution with respect to parameters or initial conditions. This work develops adjoint sensitivity analysis for hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-21 Sebastien Corner , Corina Sandu , Adrian Sandu

Learning is based on synaptic plasticity, which affects and is driven by neural activity. Because pre- and postsynaptic spiking activity is shaped by randomness, the synaptic weights follow a stochastic process, requiring a probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jakob Stubenrauch , Naomi Auer , Richard Kempter , Benjamin Lindner

A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and diffusion. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 L. Z. J. Liang , D. Lemmens , J. Tempere

Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Zeyu Zheng , Zhi Qiao , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley , Baowen Li

In this note, we introduce how to use Volatility Index (VIX) for postprocessing quantitative strategies so as to increase the Sharpe ratio and reduce trading risks. The signal from this procedure is an indicator of trading or not on a daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-12 Jun Lu , Minhui Wu

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Bernardo Spagnolo , Davide Valenti

We show that the Realized GARCH model yields close-form expression for both the Volatility Index (VIX) and the volatility risk premium (VRP). The Realized GARCH model is driven by two shocks, a return shock and a volatility shock, and these…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-13 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Zhuo Huang , Chen Tong , Tianyi Wang

We perform a detailed comparison between a Markov Switching Jump Diffusion Model and a Markov Switching {\alpha}-Stable Distribution Model with respect to the analysis of non-stationary data. We show that the jump diffusion model is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-20 Luca Di Persio , Vukasin Jovic

Human joint dynamic stiffness plays an important role in the stability of performance augmentation exoskeletons. In this paper, we consider a new frequency domain model of the human joint dynamics which features a complex value stiffness.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-04 Binghan He , Huang Huang , Gray C. Thomas , Luis Sentis

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

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