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Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Trevor Campbell , Saifuddin Syed , Chiao-Yu Yang , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

We consider the goodness of fit testing problem for stochastic differential equation with small diffiusion coefficient. The basic hypothesis is always simple and it is described by the known trend coefficient. We propose several tests of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

For a spatiotemporal process $\{X_j(s,t) | ~s \in S~,~t \in T \}_{j =1, \ldots , n} $, where $S$ denotes the set of spatial locations and $T$ the time domain, we consider the problem of testing for a change in the sequence of mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Holger Dette , Pascal Quanz

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this article, we propose a class of test statistics for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional independent data. Our test integrates the U-statistic based approach in a recent work by \cite{hdcp} and the $L_q$-norm based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Yangfan Zhang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Hélène Boistard , Eric Moulines , Murad S. Taqqu , Valderio A. Reisen

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

Classical change point analysis aims at (1) detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a possibly non-stationary time series and at (2) identifying regions where the mean exhibits a piecewise constant behavior. In many applications however, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Relative entropy, as a divergence metric between two distributions, can be used for offline change-point detection and extends classical methods that mainly rely on moment-based discrepancies. To build a statistical test suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Matthieu Garcin , Louis Perot

We introduce two novel non-parametric statistical hypothesis tests. The first test, called the relative test of dependency, enables us to determine whether one source variable is significantly more dependent on a first target variable or a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Wacha Bounliphone , Eugene Belilovsky , Arthur Tenenhaus , Ioannis Antonoglou , Arthur Gretton , Matthew B. Blashcko

During the recent years there was an increased interest in studying the performance of different types of control charts, under various distributional models for continuous proportions, such as percentages and rates. In this work we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Athanasios C. Rakitzis

Let $\{X_{n}(t), t\in[0,\infty)\}, n\in\mathbb{N}$ be a sequence of centered dependent stationary Gaussian processes. The limit distribution of $\sup_{t\in[0,T(n)]}|X_{n}(t)|$ is established as $r_{n}(t)$, the correlation function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Z. Tan , E. Hashorva , Z. Peng

We consider a change-point test based on the Hill estimator to test for structural changes in the tail index of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility time series. In order to determine the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Annika Betken , Davide Giraudo , Rafał Kulik

We introduce a family of local inhomogeneous mark-weighted summary statistics, of order two and higher, for general marked point processes. Depending on how the involved weight function is specified, these summary statistics capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Giada Adelfio , Jorge Mateu , Ottmar Cronie

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of suprema of dependent Gaussian processes with trend. For different scales of the time horizon we obtain different normalizing functions for the convergence of the maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

The CUSUM procedure is known to be optimal for detecting a change in distribution under a minimax scenario, whereas the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure is optimal for detecting a change that occurs at a distant time horizon. As a simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Let $(X_j)_{j\geq1}$ be a multivariate long-range dependent Gaussian process. We study the asymptotic behavior of the corresponding sequential empirical process indexed by a class of functions. If some entropy condition is satisfied we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Jannis Buchsteiner

We study the problem of offline changepoint localization in a distribution-free setting. One observes a vector of data with a single changepoint, assuming that the data before and after the changepoint are iid (or more generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Rohan Hore , Aaditya Ramdas

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy