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We investigate whether it is possible to formulate option pricing and hedging models without using probability. We present a model that is consistent with two notions of volatility: a historical volatility consistent with statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Damiano Brigo

We investigate the relation between the fair price for European-style vanilla options and the distribution of short-term returns on the underlying asset ignoring transaction and other costs. We compute the risk-neutral probability density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

The paper develops a new class of financial market models. These models are based on generalized telegraph processes: Markov random flows with alternating velocities and jumps occurring when the velocities are switching. While such markets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Nikita Ratanov , Alexander Melnikov

This paper performs the numerical analysis and the computation of a Spread option in a market with imperfect liquidity. The number of shares traded in the stock market has a direct impact on the stock's price. Thus, we consider a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-25 Ahmad Reza Yazdanian , T A Pirvu

We obtain a decomposition of the call option price for a very general stochastic volatility diffusion model extending the decomposition obtained by E. Al\`os in [2] for the Heston model. We realize that a new term arises when the stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-30 Raul Merino , Josep Vives

We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Christian Bayer , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

We show how the prices of options can be determined with the help of double-fractional differential equation in such a way that their inclusion in a portfolio of stocks provides a more reliable hedge against dramatic price drops that the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hagen Kleinert , Jan Korbel

Options financial instruments designed to protect investors from the stock market randomness. In 1973, Fisher Black, Myron Scholes and Robert Merton proposed a very popular option pricing method using stochastic differential equations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-06 J. Perello , J. M. Porra , M. Montero , J. Masoliver

No--arbitrage property provides a simple method for pricing financial derivatives. However, arbitrage opportunities exist among different markets in various fields, even for a very short time. By knowing that an arbitrage property exists,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Yasushi Ota , Yu Jiang , Daiki Maki

We present a fully nonparametric method to estimate the value function, via simulation, in the context of expected infinite-horizon discounted rewards for Markov chains. Estimating such value functions plays an important role in approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Mohammad Mousavi , Peter W. Glynn

We present a method for the arbitrage-free interpolation of plain-vanilla option prices and implied volatilities, which is based on a system of integral equations that relates terminal density and option prices. Using a discretization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Daniel Guterding

We propose a numerical procedure for computing the prices of European options, in which the underlying asset price is a Markovian strict local martingale. If the underlying process is a strict local martingale and the payoff is of linear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Yukihiro Tsuzuki

Barrieu, Rouault, and Yor [J. Appl. Probab. 41 (2004)] determined asymptotics for the logarithm of the distribution function of the Hartman-Watson distribution. We determine the asymptotics of the density. This refinement can be applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-09 Stefan Gerhold

We price European options in a class of models in which the volatility of the underlying risky asset depends on the short rate of interest. Our study results in an explicit pricing formula that depends on knowledge of a characteristic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig

This paper explores the use of deep residual networks for pricing European options on Petrobras, one of the world's largest oil and gas producers, and compares its performance with the Black-Scholes (BS) model. Using eight years of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-30 Joao Felipe Gueiros , Hemanth Chandravamsi , Steven H. Frankel

The validity of an approximation formula for European option prices under a general stochastic volatility model is proved in the light of the Edgeworth expansion for ergodic diffusions. The asymptotic expansion is around the Black-Scholes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

The general method is proposed for constructing a family of martingale measures for a wide class of evolution of risky assets. The sufficient conditions are formulated for the evolution of risky assets under which the family of equivalent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 N. S. Gonchar

We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 John Armstrong , Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Thomas Cass

We deal with some generalizations on a Black--Scholes model arising in financial mathematics. As novelty in this paper, we consider a variable volatility and abstract functional boundary conditions, which allow us to treat a very large…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Rubén Figueroa , Maria do Rosário Grossinho

The present article provides an efficient and accurate hybrid method to price American standard options in certain jump-diffusion models as well as American barrier-type options under the Black & Scholes framework. Our method generalizes…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-03 Ludovic Mathys