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In the regime of change-point detection, a nonparametric framework based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing similarities among observations is gaining attention due to its flexibility and good performances for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

This paper reviews recent developments in fundamental limits and optimal algorithms for change point analysis. We focus on minimax optimal rates in change point detection and localisation, in both parametric and nonparametric models. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Yi Yu

A central question in random matrix theory is universality. When an emergent phenomena is observed from a large collection of chosen random variables it is natural to ask if this behavior is specific to the chosen random variable or if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Jake Koenig , Hoi Nguyen

We consider the problem of controlling a mutated diffusion process with an unknown mutation time. The problem is formulated as the quickest intervention problem with the mutation modeled by a change-point, which is a generalization of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-13 Qining Zhang , Honghao Wei , Weina Wang , Lei Ying

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

Deconvolution is a statistical inverse problem to estimate the distribution of a random variable based on its noisy observations. Despite the extensive studies on the topic, deconvolution with unknown noise distribution remains as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Devavrat Shah , Dogyoon Song

We study the minimax rate of estimation in nonparametric exponential family regression under star-shaped constraints. Specifically, the parameter space $K$ is a star-shaped set contained within a bounded box $[-M, M]^n$, where $M$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Guanghong Yi , Matey Neykov

We propose a novel nonparametric approach for estimating the location of block boundaries (change-points) of non-overlapping blocks in a random symmetric matrix which consists of random variables having their distribution changing from one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-13 Vincent Brault , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet , Céline Lévy-Leduc

We study a hypothesis testing problem in the context of high-dimensional changepoint detection. Given a matrix $X \in \R^{p \times n}$ with independent Gaussian entries, the goal is to determine whether or not a sparse, non-null fraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Daniel Xiang , Chao Gao

This paper investigates the detection and estimation of a single change in high-dimensional linear models. We derive minimax lower bounds for the detection boundary and the estimation rate, which uncover a phase transition governed by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Haeran Cho , Housen Li

Suppose a process yields independent observations whose distributions belong to a family parameterized by \theta\in\Theta. When the process is in control, the observations are i.i.d. with a known parameter value \theta_0. When the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gary Lorden , Moshe Pollak

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Jasmin James , Jason J. Ford , Timothy L. Molloy

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

In massive data analysis, training and testing data often come from very different sources, and their probability distributions are not necessarily identical. A feature example is nonparametric classification in posterior drift model where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Zuofeng Shang

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We present a randomized approximation scheme for the permanent of a matrix with nonnegative entries. Our scheme extends a recursive rejection sampling method of Huber and Law (SODA 2008) by replacing the upper bound for the permanent with a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Juha Harviainen , Antti Röyskö , Mikko Koivisto

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

We propose a novel non-parametric learning paradigm for the identification of drift and diffusion coefficients of multi-dimensional non-linear stochastic differential equations, which relies upon discrete-time observations of the state. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi