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Robust model-fitting to spectroscopic transitions is a requirement across many fields of science. The corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC) are most frequently used to select the optimal number of fitting…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 John K. Webb , Chung-Chi Lee , Robert F. Carswell , Dinko Milaković

Information criteria such as Akaike's (AIC) and Bayes' (BIC) are widely used for model selection in physics and beyond, quantifying the tradeoff between model complexity and goodness-of-fit to enforce parsimony. However, their derivation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Kumar Utkarsh , Daniel M. Abrams

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

The information criterion AIC has been used successfully in many areas of statistical modeling, and since it is derived based on the Taylor expansion of the log-likelihood function and the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Genshiro Kitagawa

Information of interest can often only be extracted from data by model fitting. When the functional form of such a model can not be deduced from first principles, one has to make a choice between different possible models. A common approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jens Thomas , Mathias Lipka

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

Information coefficient (IC) is a widely used metric for measuring investment managers' skills in selecting stocks. However, its adequacy and effectiveness for evaluating stock selection models has not been clearly understood, as IC from a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Feng Zhang , Ruite Guo , Honggao Cao

We propose a novel approach to model selection for simulator-based statistical models. The proposed approach defines a mixture of candidate models, and then iteratively updates the weight coefficients for those models as well as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Yuuki Nakaguchi , Kanishka Khandelwal , Kenji Fukumiziu

When using the Focused Information Criterion (FIC) for assessing and ranking candidate models with respect to how well they do for a given estimation task, it is customary to produce a so-called FIC plot. This plot has the different point…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Céline Cunen , Nils Lid Hjort

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

We introduce instancewise feature selection as a methodology for model interpretation. Our method is based on learning a function to extract a subset of features that are most informative for each given example. This feature selector is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Jianbo Chen , Le Song , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper, I develop a formula for estimating Bayes factors directly from minimal summary statistics produced in repeated measures analysis of variance designs. The formula, which requires knowing only the $F$-statistic, the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Thomas J. Faulkenberry

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a common tool for model selection. It is frequently used in violation of regularity conditions at parameter space singularities and boundaries. The expected AIC is generally not asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior…

We here introduce a novel classification approach adopted from the nonlinear model identification framework, which jointly addresses the feature selection and classifier design tasks. The classifier is constructed as a polynomial expansion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Aida Brankovic , Alessandro Falsone , Maria Prandini , Luigi Piroddi

The widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) has been used as a model selection criterion for Bayesian statistics in recent years. It is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Dynamic feature selection, where we sequentially query features to make accurate predictions with a minimal budget, is a promising paradigm to reduce feature acquisition costs and provide transparency into a model's predictions. The problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Soham Gadgil , Ian Covert , Su-In Lee

We consider joint selection of fixed and random effects in general mixed-effects models. The interpretation of estimated mixed-effects models is challenging since changing the structure of one set of effects can lead to different choices of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Maud Delattre , Marie-Anne Poursat

Finite mixture models are ubiquitous in modern statistical modeling, and a recurring practical issue is choosing the model order. In \citet[Sankhy\=a Series A, \textbf62, pp. 49--66]{keribin2000consistent}, the Bayesian information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen