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We consider the problem of conditioning a Markov process on a rare event and of representing this conditioned process by a conditioning-free process, called the effective or driven process. The basic assumption is that the rare event used…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

We study the fluctuations of systems modeled by Markov jump processes with periodic generators. We focus on observables defined through time-periodic functions of the system's states or transitions. Using large deviation theory, canonical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Lydia Chabane , Raphaël Chétrite , Gatien Verley

A continuous-time Markov process $X$ can be conditioned to be in a given state at a fixed time $T > 0$ using Doob's $h$-transform. This transform requires the typically intractable transition density of $X$. The effect of the $h$-transform…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Marc Corstanje , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Doob fixed-time conditioning enables the sampling of rare trajectories of Markov processes by modifying the drift so that reaching a prescribed target at a given time is guaranteed. We study the statistics of this conditioned path ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-26 Iago N. Mamede , Francesco Coghi

We connect self-interacting processes, that is, stochastic processes where transitions depend on the time spent by a trajectory in each configuration, to Doob conditioning. In this way we demonstrate that Markov processes with constrained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-19 Francesco Coghi , Juan P. Garrahan

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette

The intrinsic stochasticity of gene expression can give rise to large fluctuations and rare events that drive phenotypic variation in a population of genetically identical cells. Characterizing the fluctuations that give rise to such rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Jordan M. Horowitz , Rahul V. Kulkarni

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

Using the tools of the Markov Decision Processes, we justify the dynamic programming approach to the optimal impulse control of deterministic dynamical systems. We prove the equivalence of the integral and differential forms of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexey Piunovskiy , Alexander Plakhov , Delfim F. M. Torres , Yi Zhang

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

In this paper, we consider the gradual-impulse control problem of continuous-time Markov decision processes, where the system performance is measured by the expectation of the exponential utility of the total cost. We prove, under very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Xin Guo , Aiko Kurushima , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

This paper considers the optimal control of time varying continuous time Markov chains whose transition rates are themselves Markov processes. In one set of problems the solution of an ordinary differential equation is shown to determine…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Manish Gupta

We consider a class of optimal control problems, with finite or infinite horizon, for a continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space. In this case, the control process affects the transition rates. We suppose that the controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

We study the large deviations of the time-integrated current for a driven diffusion on the circle, often used as a model of nonequilibrium systems. We obtain the large deviation functions describing the current fluctuations using a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-28 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

The large deviations properties of trajectory observables for chaotic non-invertible deterministic maps as studied recently by N. R. Smith, Phys. Rev. E 106, L042202 (2022) and by R. Gutierrez, A. Canella-Ortiz, C. Perez-Espigares,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Cecile Monthus

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus
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