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We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

Computer models are used to model complex processes in various disciplines. Often, a key source of uncertainty in the behavior of complex computer models is uncertainty due to unknown model input parameters. Statistical computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

We describe an approximate statistical model for the sample variance distribution of the non-linear matter power spectrum that can be calibrated from limited numbers of simulations. Our model retains the common assumption of a multivariate…

Computational models and simulations are not just appealing because of their intrinsic characteristics across spatiotemporal scales, scalability, and predictive power, but also because the set of problems in cancer biomedicine that can be…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-01 Nicolò Cogno , Cristian Axenie , Roman Bauer , Vasileios Vavourakis

This paper develops methods of distributed Bayesian hypothesis tests for fault detection and diagnosis that are based on belief propagation and optimization in graphical models. The main challenges in developing distributed statistical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-20 Kwang-Ki K. Kim

An algorithm of particle-in-cell simulations is described and tested to aid further the actual design of simple vircators working on axially symmetric modes. The methods of correction of the numerical solution, have been chosen and jointly…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2013-09-26 V. V. Tikhomirov , S. E. Siahlo

Data collected by the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) satellite, recording heliospheric energetic neutral atoms (ENAs), exhibit a phenomenon that has caused space scientists to revise hypotheses about the physical processes, and…

Gaussian process priors are a popular choice for Bayesian analysis of regression problems. However, the implementation of these models can be complex, and ensuring that the implementation is correct can be challenging. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 John Mcleod , Fergus Simpson

Before autonomous systems can be deployed in safety-critical applications, we must be able to understand and verify the safety of these systems. For cases where the risk or cost of real-world testing is prohibitive, we propose a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Charles Dawson , Chuchu Fan

Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim

To assess the possibility of evacuating a building in case of a fire, a standard method consists in simulating the propagation of fire, using finite difference methods and takes into account the random behavior of the fire, so that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Rémi Stroh , Julien Bect , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Emmanuel Vazquez

Multi-agent simulation is commonly used across multiple disciplines, specifically in artificial intelligence in recent years, which creates an environment for downstream machine learning or reinforcement learning tasks. In many practical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

Statistical emulators of computer simulators have proven to be useful in a variety of applications. The widely adopted model for emulator building, using a Gaussian process model with strictly positive correlation function, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-29 Cari G. Kaufman , Derek Bingham , Salman Habib , Katrin Heitmann , Joshua A. Frieman

Determining if two histograms are consistent, whether they have been drawn from the same underlying distribution or not, is a common problem in physics. Existing approaches are not only limited in power but also inapplicable to histograms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-09-29 M. J. Betancourt

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Multiscale models allow for the treatment of complex phenomena involving different scales, such as remodeling and growth of tissues, muscular activation, and cardiac electrophysiology. Numerous numerical approaches have been developed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Marco Favino , Alessio Quaglino , Sonia Pozzi , Rolf Krause , Igor Pivkin

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Eleni Chatzi

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

This paper considers errors-in-variables models in a high-dimensional setting where the number of covariates can be much larger than the sample size, and there are only a small number of non-zero covariates. The presence of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Linh Nghiem , Cornelis Potgieter