Related papers: Numerical analysis on local risk-minimization fore…
Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…
The survival analysis of driving trajectories allows for holistic evaluations of car-related risks caused by collisions or curvy roads. This analysis has advantages over common Time-To-X indicators, such as its predictive and probabilistic…
We study the minimal error of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) procedure in the task of regression, both in the random and the fixed design settings. Our sharp lower bounds shed light on the possibility (or impossibility) of adapting…
A very simple and efficient local variational iteration method for solving problems of nonlinear science is proposed in this paper. The analytical iteration formula of this method is derived first using a general form of first order…
Inference about dependencies in a multiway data array can be made using the array normal model, which corresponds to the class of multivariate normal distributions with separable covariance matrices. Maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods…
Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) is an important problem in finance. They arise in the modelling of future initial margin requirements for counterparty credit risk and future market risk VaR. One is also interested in derived…
We present a localized a-posteriori error estimate for the localized reduced basis multi-scale (LRBMS) method [Albrecht, Haasdonk, Kaulmann, Ohlberger (2012): The localized reduced basis multiscale method]. The LRBMS is a combination of…
We consider the problem of estimating a spectral risk measure (SRM) from i.i.d. samples, and propose a novel method that is based on numerical integration. We show that our SRM estimate concentrates exponentially, when the underlying…
This paper considers a proportional hazards model, which allows one to examine the extent to which covariates interact nonlinearly with an exposure variable, for analysis of lifetime data. A local partial-likelihood technique is proposed to…
Learning representations for solutions of constrained optimization problems (COPs) with unknown cost functions is challenging, as models like (Variational) Autoencoders struggle to enforce constraints when decoding structured outputs. We…
The collective risk model (CRM) for frequency and severity is an important tool for retail insurance ratemaking, macro-level catastrophic risk forecasting, as well as operational risk in banking regulation. This model, which is initially…
This research considers a scalable inference for spatial data modeled through Gaussian intrinsic conditional autoregressive (ICAR) structures. The classical estimation method, restricted maximum likelihood (REML), requires repeated…
We explore past and recent developments in rare-event probability estimation with a particular focus on a novel Monte Carlo technique Empirical Likelihood Maximization (ELM). This is a versatile method that involves sampling from a sequence…
We prove simple general formulas for expectations of functions of a L\'evy process and its running extremum. Under additional conditions, we derive analytical formulas using the Fourier/Laplace inversion and Wiener-Hopf factorization, and…
We introduce an algorithm for the pricing of finite expiry American options driven by L\'evy processes. The idea is to tweak Carr's `Canadisation' method, cf. Carr [9] (see also Bouchard et al [5]), in such a way that the adjusted algorithm…
We examine optimal quadratic hedging of barrier options in a discretely sampled exponential L\'{e}vy model that has been realistically calibrated to reflect the leptokurtic nature of equity returns. Our main finding is that the impact of…
The dual formulation of empirical risk minimization with f-divergence regularization (ERM-fDR) is introduced. The solution of the dual optimization problem to the ERM-fDR is connected to the notion of normalization function introduced as an…
We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential Levy-type martingale subject to default. This class of models allows for local volatility, local default intensity, and a locally dependent…
In this paper, we introduce a method for fine-tuning Large Language Models (LLMs), inspired by Multi-Task learning in a federated manner. Our approach leverages the structure of each client's model and enables a learning scheme that…
This paper demonstrates the efficiency of using Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier expansions in the calibration of the Libor Market Model with Stochastic Volatility and Displaced Diffusion (DD-SV-LMM). Our approach brings together two research…