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In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Quantifying the uncertainty of wind energy potential from climate models is a very time-consuming task and requires a considerable amount of computational resources. A statistical model trained on a small set of runs can act as a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Jaehong Jeong , Yuan Yan , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

Wind turbines often work under complex conditions which result in performance degradation. Accurate performance degradation monitoring is essential to ensure the reliable operation of wind turbines and reduce the maintenance costs. Wind…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Peng Wang , Yanting Li , Fugee Tsung

Considering increasing distributed energy resources and responsive loads in smart grid, this paper proposes a stochastic simulation approach for stability analysis of a power system having stochastic loads. The proposed approach solves a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Nan Duan , Kai Sun

The rapid uptake of renewable energy technologies in recent decades has increased the demand of energy researchers, policymakers and energy planners for reliable data on the spatial distribution of their costs and potentials. For onshore…

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

Airborne wind energy systems aim to generate renewable energy by means of the aerodynamic lift produced by a wing tethered to the ground and controlled to fly crosswind paths. The problem of maximizing the average power developed by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Aldo U. Zgraggen , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari

Wind speed is a powerful source of renewable energy, which can be used as an alternative to the non-renewable resources for production of electricity. Renewable sources are clean, infinite and do not impact the environment negatively during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Swayamjit Saha

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

One of the fundamental concerns in the operation of modern power systems is the assessment of their frequency stability in case of inertia-reduction induced by the large share of power electronic interfaced resources. Within this context,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Francesco Conte , Stefano Massucco , Mario Paolone , Giacomo-Piero Schiapparelli , Federico Silvestro , Yihui Zuo

Condition based maintenance is a modern approach to maintenance which has been successfully used in several industrial sectors. In this paper we present a concrete statistical approach to condition based maintenance for wind turbine by…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-17 Thomas Kenbeek , Stella Kapodistria , Alessandro Di Bucchianico

In the past decades, clean and renewable energy has gained increasing attention due to a global effort on carbon footprint reduction. In particular, Saudi Arabia is gradually shifting its energy portfolio from an exclusive use of oil to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kesen Wang , Minwoo Kim , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Renewable energy projects, such as large offshore wind farms, are critical to achieving low-emission targets set by governments. Stochastic computer models allow us to explore future scenarios to aid decision making whilst considering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Jack C. Kennedy , Daniel A. Henderson , Kevin J. Wilson

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

Based on the Langevin equation it has been proposed to obtain power curves for wind turbines from high frequency data of wind speed measurements u(t) and power output P (t). The two parts of the Langevin approach, power curve and drift…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-09 Tanja A. Mücke , Matthias Wächter , Patrick Milan , Joachim Peinke