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We construct a family of non-parametric (infinite-dimensional) manifolds of finite measures on $R^d$. The manifolds are modelled on a variety of weighted Sobolev spaces, including Hilbert-Sobolev spaces and mixed-norm spaces. Each supports…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Nigel J. Newton

An important challenge in the field of exponential random graphs (ERGs) is the fitting of non-trivial ERGs on large graphs. By utilizing fast matrix block-approximation techniques, we propose an approximative framework to such non-trivial…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Florian Adriaens , Alexandru Mara , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

This paper presents new results allowing an unknown non-Gaussian positive matrix-valued random field to be identified through a stochastic elliptic boundary value problem, solving a statistical inverse problem. A new general class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Anthony Nouy , Christian Soize

Nonlinear mixed effects models have received a great deal of attention in the statistical literature in recent years because of their flexibility in handling longitudinal studies, including human immunodeficiency virus viral dynamics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Dipak K. Dey , Victor H. Lachos

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

Bayesian inference with empirical likelihood faces a challenge as the posterior domain is a proper subset of the original parameter space due to the convex hull constraint. We propose a regularized exponentially tilted empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is widely used in sequence to sequence tasks for model training. It uniformly treats the generation/prediction of each target token as multi-class classification, and yields non-smooth prediction…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-12-13 Chengyue Gong , Xu Tan , Di He , Tao Qin

Data augmentation is one of the most popular techniques for improving the robustness of neural networks. In addition to directly training the model with original samples and augmented samples, a torrent of methods regularizing the distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Haohan Wang , Zeyi Huang , Xindi Wu , Eric P. Xing

The versatility of exponential families, along with their attendant convexity properties, make them a popular and effective statistical model. A central issue is learning these models in high-dimensions, such as when there is some sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Sham M. Kakade , Ohad Shamir , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

While one-dimensional Markov processes are well understood, going to higher dimensions there are only a few analytically solved Ising-like models, in practice requiring to use relatively costly, uncontrollable and inaccurate Monte-Carlo…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Jarek Duda

We consider the segmentation problem of univariate distributions from the exponential family with multiple parameters. In segmentation, the choice of the number of segments remains a difficult issue due to the discrete nature of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

Lifted probabilistic inference algorithms have been successfully applied to a large number of symmetric graphical models. Unfortunately, the majority of real-world graphical models is asymmetric. This is even the case for relational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Guy Van den Broeck , Mathias Niepert

Trend filtering is a modern approach to nonparametric regression that is more adaptive to local smoothness than splines or similar basis procedures. Existing analyses of trend filtering focus on estimating a function corrupted by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-10 Veeranjaneyulu Sadhanala , Robert Bassett , James Sharpnack , Daniel J. McDonald

We consider the problem of computing the maximum likelihood multivariate log-concave distribution for a set of points. Specifically, we present an algorithm which, given $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and an accuracy parameter $\epsilon>0$,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Brian Axelrod , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart , Gregory Valiant

Nonparametric empirical Bayes methods provide a flexible and attractive approach to high-dimensional data analysis. One particularly elegant empirical Bayes methodology, involving the Kiefer-Wolfowitz nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-11 Lee H. Dicker , Sihai D. Zhao

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

Simple Exponential Smoothing is a classical technique used for smoothing time series data by assigning exponentially decreasing weights to past observations through a recursive equation; it is sometimes presented as a rule of thumb…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-08 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria

This paper studies an approximation method for the log-likelihood function of a nonlinear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem \refthm:approx) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-11 Aleksandar Mijatović , Paul Schneider

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

Semiparametric exponential family proposed by Ning et al. (2017) is an extension of the parametric exponential family to the case with a nonparametric base measure function. Such a distribution family has potential application in some areas…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-01 Lu Lin , Lili Liu , Xia Cui