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Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We propose a new approach to temporal inference, inspired by the Pearlian causal inference paradigm - though quite different from Pearl's approach formally. Rather than using directed acyclic graphs, we make use of factored sets, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Scott Garrabrant

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Questions about information encoded by the brain demand statistical frameworks for inferring relationships between neural firing and features of the world. The landmark discovery of grid cells demonstrates that neurons can represent spatial…

Analyzing multiple studies allows leveraging data from a range of sources and populations, but until recently, there have been limited methodologies to approach the joint unsupervised analysis of multiple high-dimensional studies. A recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Isabella N. Grabski , Roberta De Vito , Lorenzo Trippa , Giovanni Parmigiani

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-08 Vitor G. C. da Silva , Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , João B. M. Pereira

Relational event data, which consist of events involving pairs of actors over time, are now commonly available at the finest of temporal resolutions. Existing continuous-time methods for modeling such data are based on point processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Wesley Lee , Bailey K. Fosdick , Tyler H. McCormick

Tensor decomposition is an important technique for capturing the high-order interactions among multiway data. Multi-linear tensor composition methods, such as the Tucker decomposition and the CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP), assume that the complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Bin Liu , Zenglin Xu , Yingming Li

Two key challenges in modern statistical applications are the large amount of information recorded per individual, and that such data are often not collected all at once but in batches. These batch effects can be complex, causing…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-21 Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , David Rossell , Richard S. Savage

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

Directional relational event data, such as email data, often contain unicast messages (i.e., messages of one sender towards one receiver) and multicast messages (i.e., messages of one sender towards multiple receivers). The Enron email data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Joris Mulder , Peter D. Hoff

Matrix factorization from a small number of observed entries has recently garnered much attention as the key ingredient of successful recommendation systems. One unresolved problem in this area is how to adapt current methods to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-07 John Z. Sun , Kush R. Varshney , Karthik Subbian

Researchers have long been interested in the role that norms can play in governing agent actions in multi-agent systems. Much work has been done on formalising normative concepts from human society and adapting them for the government of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Rohit Murali , Suravi Patnaik , Stephen Cranefield

In this paper, we present the Inter-Battery Topic Model (IBTM). Our approach extends traditional topic models by learning a factorized latent variable representation. The structured representation leads to a model that marries benefits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Cheng Zhang , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Carl Henrik Ek

We propose a nonparametric factorization approach for sparsely observed tensors. The sparsity does not mean zero-valued entries are massive or dominated. Rather, it implies the observed entries are very few, and even fewer with the growth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Conor Tillinghast , Zheng Wang , Shandian Zhe

Matrix factorization exploits the idea that, in complex high-dimensional data, the actual signal typically lies in lower-dimensional structures. These lower dimensional objects provide useful insight, with interpretability favored by sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Lorenzo Schiavon , Bernardo Nipoti , Antonio Canale

Recent work on overfitting Bayesian mixtures of distributions offers a powerful framework for clustering multivariate data using a latent Gaussian model which resembles the factor analysis model. The flexibility provided by overfitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis