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In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of conventional and unconventional monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank (ECB) conditional on the prevailing level of uncertainty. To obtain exogenous variation in central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-01 Niko Hauzenberger , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

For the first time, we apply the wavelet coherence methodology on biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) and a wide range of related commodities (gasoline, diesel, crude oil, corn, wheat, soybeans, sugarcane and rapeseed oil). This way, we are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-06 Lukas Vacha , Karel Janda , Ladislav Kristoufek , David Zilberman

The financial turmoil surrounding the Great Recession called for unprecedented intervention by Central Banks: unconventional policies affected various areas in the economy, including stock market volatility. In order to evaluate such…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-23 Giampiero M. Gallo , Demetrio Lacava , Edoardo Otranto

Has broadband become a necessity good immune to price changes? Using a 15-year panel of 33 European countries (2010--2024) and two-way fixed effects with Driscoll--Kraay standard errors, we document a fundamental transformation in broadband…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-29 Samir Orujov , Ilgar Ismayilov , Jeyhun Huseynzade

The emerging system at the European level can be conceptualized as a pattern of relations among member states that tends to be reproduced despite disturbances in individual trajectories. The Markov property is used as an indicator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-01-26 Loet Leydesdorff , Nienke Oomes

The main goal of the paper is to extract the aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks in Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal, as well as to examine the correlation among the two types of shocks. The decomposition of the shocks was…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-23 Ionut Jianu

By using methods of statistical physics, we focus on the quantitative analysis of the economic income data descending from different databases. To explain our approach, we introduce the necessary theoretical background, the extended…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-10 Maciej Jagielski , Ryszard Kutner

The global crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, in conjunction with the economic consequences and the collapse of health systems, has raised serious concerns in Europe, which is the most affected continent by the pandemic since it…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Konstantinos Demertzis , Lykourgos Magafas , Dimitrios Tsiotas

In this paper, we propose a methodology based on piece-wise homogeneous Markov chain for credit ratings and a multivariate model of the credit spreads to evaluate the financial risk in European Union (EU). Two main aspects are considered:…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Philippe Regnault , Stefania Scocchera , Loriano Storchi

This paper investigates a time-varying version of weak-form market efficiency in the BRICS countries. A moving window test for sample autocorrelations is applied alongside a Kalman filter approach to recover the hidden dynamics of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Maria V. Kulikova , David R. Taylor , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

This study attempts to investigate into the structure and features of global equity markets from a time-frequency perspective. An analysis grounded on this framework allows one to capture information from a different dimension, as opposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari

This work examines how the dependence structures between energy futures asset prices differ in two periods identified before and after the 2008 global financial crisis. These two periods were characterised by a difference in the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-31 Clara Grazian , Alex McInnes

We investigate the use of the Hurst exponent, dynamically computed over a moving time-window, to evaluate the level of stability/instability of financial firms. Financial firms bailed-out as a consequence of the 2007-2010 credit crisis show…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-24 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Ruggero Gramatica , Tomaso Aste

After the fall of the Berlin Wall, Central and Eastern Europe were subject to strong polarisation processes. This article proposes examines two neglected aspects regarding the transition period: a comparative static assessment of foreign…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-01 Natalia Zdanowska

We use techniques from network science to study correlations in the foreign exchange (FX) market over the period 1991--2008. We consider an FX market network in which each node represents an exchange rate and each weighted edge represents a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Stephan Schwill

This paper explores the relationship between economic growth and CO$_2$ emissions across European regions from 1990 to 2022, specifically concerning the dynamics of emissions growth rates through different phases of the European Union…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-29 Marco Dueñas , Antoine Mandel

European singles charts are important part of the music industry responsible for creating popularity of songs. After modeling and exploring dynamics of global album sales in previous papers, we investigate patterns of hit singles popularity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-26 Andrzej Buda , Andrzej Jarynowski

Population-level dynamics of social cohesion and its underlying mechanisms remain difficult to study. In this paper, we propose a network approach to measure the evolution of social cohesion at the population scale and identify mechanisms…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Eszter Bokányi , Yuliia Kazmina , Eelke M. Heemskerk , Frank W. Takes

Based on the quarterly data from 26 advanced economies (AEs) and 18 emerging market economies (EMs) over the past two decades, this paper estimates the short- and medium-term impacts of financial cycles on the duration and amplitude of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-29 Tianbao Zhou , Zhixin Liu , Yingying Xu