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Related papers: A Robust Method for Shift Detection in Time Series

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The ability to detect change-points in a dynamic network or a time series of graphs is an increasingly important task in many applications of the emerging discipline of graph signal processing. This paper formulates change-point detection…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Heng Wang , Minh Tang , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

A stylized feature of high-dimensional data is that many variables have heavy tails, and robust statistical inference is critical for valid large-scale statistical inference. Yet, the existing developments such as Winsorization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Jianqing Fan , Zhipeng Lou , Mengxin Yu

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Robust classification algorithms have been developed in recent years with great success. We take advantage of this development and recast the classical two-sample test problem in the framework of classification. Based on the estimates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-18 Haiyan Cai , Bryan Goggin , Qingtang Jiang

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

We study a CUSUM (cumulative sums) procedure for the detection of changes in the means of weakly dependent time series within an abstract Hilbert space framework. We use an empirical projection approach via a principal component…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Leonid Torgovitski

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric changes in the causal mechanisms of observed variables, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Nikolaj Thams , Michael Oberst , David Sontag

The q-weighted CUSUM and their corresponding estimator are well known statistics for change-point detection and estimation. They have the difficulty that the performance is highly dependent on the location of the change. An adaptive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Stefanie Schwaar

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

The Mann-Whitney effect is an effect measure for the order of two sample-specific outcome variables. It has the interpretation of a probability and also a connection to the area under the ROC curve. In the literature it has been considered…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Dennis Dobler , Alina Schenk , Matthias Schmid

The log-normal distribution is one of the most common distributions used for modeling skewed and positive data. It frequently arises in many disciplines of science, specially in the biological and medical sciences. The statistical analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

When comparing two independent groups, shift functions are basically techniques that compare multiple quantiles rather than a single measure of location, the goal being to get a more detailed understanding of how the distributions differ.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-11 Rand R. Wilcox , Guillaume A. Rousselet

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

In this paper, we consider detecting and estimating breaks in heterogeneous mean functions of high-dimensional functional time series which are allowed to be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. A new test statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Degui Li , Runze Li , Han Lin Shang

A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

Two-sample tests evaluate whether two samples are realizations of the same distribution (the null hypothesis) or two different distributions (the alternative hypothesis). We consider a new setting for this problem where sample features are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Weizhi Li , Gautam Dasarathy , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Visar Berisha

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer