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We reconcile the two worlds of dense and sparse modeling by exploiting the positive aspects of both. We employ a factor model and assume {the dynamic of the factors is non-pervasive while} the idiosyncratic term follows a sparse vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jonas Krampe , Luca Margaritella

In tracking of time-varying low-rank models of time-varying matrices, we present a method robust to both uniformly-distributed measurement noise and arbitrarily-distributed ``sparse'' noise. In theory, we bound the tracking error. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Albert Akhriev , Jakub Marecek , Andrea Simonetto

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

In this paper an adaptive state observer and parameter identification algorithm for a linear time-varying system are developed under condition that the state matrix of the system contains unknown time-varying parameters of a known form. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-22 Olga Kozachek , Nikolay Nikolaev , Olga Slita , Alexey Bobtsov

A variety of statistical methods for understanding variability in the time domain for low count rate X-ray and gamma-ray sources are explored. Variability can be detected using nonparametric (Anderson-Darling and overdispersion tests) and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-24 Eric D. Feigelson , Vinay L. Kashyap , Aneta Siemiginowska

Many astrophysical phenomena are time-varying, in the sense that their brightness change over time. In the case of periodic stars, previous approaches assumed that changes in period, amplitude, and phase are well described by either…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Giovanni Motta , Darlin Soto , Márcio Catelan

In this paper, we study parametric nonlinear regression under the Harris recurrent Markov chain framework. We first consider the nonlinear least squares estimators of the parameters in the homoskedastic case, and establish asymptotic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-15 Degui Li , Dag Tjøstheim , Jiti Gao

In this paper, we propose a semi-parametric model for autonomous nonlinear dynamical systems and devise an estimation procedure for model fitting. This model incorporates subject-specific effects and can be viewed as a nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-19 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng , Prabir Burman

In this paper we propose a new test for the hypothesis of a constant coefficient of variation in the common nonparametric regression model. The test is based on an estimate of the $L^2$-distance between the square of the regression function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-30 H. Dette , G. Wieczorek

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

We propose a new nonparametric procedure for the detection and estimation of multiple structural breaks in the autocovariance function of a multivariate (second- order) piecewise stationary process, which also identifies the components of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Philip Preuß , Ruprecht Puchstein , Holger Dette

The Allan Variance (AV) is a widely used quantity in areas focusing on error measurement as well as in the general analysis of variance for autocorrelated processes in domains such as engineering and, more specifically, metrology. The form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Haotian Xu , Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari , Yuming Zhang

Periodic autoregressive (PAR) time series with finite variance is considered as one of the most common models of second-order cyclostationary processes. However, in the real applications, the signals with periodic characteristics may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

This paper develops a two-stage method for inference on partially identified parameters in moment inequality models with separable nuisance parameters. In the first stage, the nuisance parameters are estimated separately, and in the second…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-28 Xunkang Tian

We propose a sequential nonparametric test for detecting a change in distribution, based on windowed Kolmogorov--Smirnov statistics. The approach is simple, robust, highly computationally efficient, easy to calibrate, and requires no…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

Monitoring economic conditions and financial stability with an early warning system serves as a prevention mechanism for unexpected economic events. In this paper, we investigate the statistical performance of sequential break-point…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-14 Christis Katsouris

In this paper, we developed a novel method of nonparametric relative entropy (RlEn) for modelling loss of complexity in intermittent time series. The method consists of two steps. We first fit a nonlinear autoregressive model to each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jie Li , Jian Zhang , Samantha L. Winter , Mark Burnley

To successfully work on variable selection, sparse model structure has become a basic assumption for all existing methods. However, this assumption is questionable as it is hard to hold in most of cases and none of existing methods may…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-06 Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu , Yujie Gai

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller