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Learning high-dimensional distributions is a significant challenge in machine learning and statistics. Classical research has mostly concentrated on asymptotic analysis of such data under suitable assumptions. While existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Sutanu Gayen , Sanket Kale , Sayantan Sen

Adaptive design optimization (ADO) is a state-of-the-art technique for experimental design (Cavagnaro, Myung, Pitt, & Kujala, 2010). ADO dynamically identifies stimuli that, in expectation, yield the most information about a hypothetical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-10 Sabina J. Sloman , Daniel Cavagnaro , Stephen B. Broomell

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

Experimental designs based on the classical D-optimal criterion minimize the volume of the linear-approximation inference regions for the parameters using local sensitivity coefficients. For nonlinear models, these designs can be unreliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Hana Sulieman

Bayesian model comparison requires the specification of a prior distribution on the parameter space of each candidate model. In this connection two concerns arise: on the one hand the elicitation task rapidly becomes prohibitive as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-16 Guido Consonni , Piero Veronese

A Distributional (Single) Index Model (DIM) is a semi-parametric model for distributional regression, that is, estimation of conditional distributions given covariates. The method is a combination of classical single index models for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-04 Alexander Henzi , Gian-Reto Kleger , Johanna F. Ziegel

We consider non-local sensing of scalar signals with specific spatial dependence in the Bayesian regime. We design schemes that allow one to achieve optimal scaling and are immune to noise sources with a different spatial dependence than…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-15 S. Wölk , P. Sekatski , W. Dür

Bayesian inference paradigms are regarded as powerful tools for solution of inverse problems. However, when applied to inverse problems in physical sciences, Bayesian formulations suffer from a number of inconsistencies that are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Klaus Mosegaard

Researchers and managers model ecological communities to infer the biotic and abiotic variables that shape species' ranges, habitat use, and co-occurrence which, in turn, are used to support management decisions and test ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-01 Trevor Hefley

The training of high-dimensional regression models on comparably sparse data is an important yet complicated topic, especially when there are many more model parameters than observations in the data. From a Bayesian perspective, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In this paper, we derive optimality results for greedy Bayesian-network search algorithms that perform single-edge modifications at each step and use asymptotically consistent scoring criteria. Our results extend those of Meek (1997) and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 David Maxwell Chickering , Christopher Meek

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

We propose a prior distribution for the number of components of a finite mixture model. The novelty is that the prior distribution is obtained by considering the loss one would incur if the true value representing the number of components…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Clara Grazian , Cristiano Villa , Brunero Liseo

Virtually any model we use in machine learning to make predictions does not perfectly represent reality. So, most of the learning happens under model misspecification. In this work, we present a novel analysis of the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Andres R. Masegosa

Robust and distributionally robust optimization are modeling paradigms for decision-making under uncertainty where the uncertain parameters are only known to reside in an uncertainty set or are governed by any probability distribution from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Jianzhe Zhen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kei Kobayashi , Fumiyasu Komaki

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson