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Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

Video prediction is commonly referred to as forecasting future frames of a video sequence provided several past frames thereof. It remains a challenging domain as visual scenes evolve according to complex underlying dynamics, such as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Hafez Farazi , Jan Nogga , Sven Behnke

Traffic prediction is a typical spatio-temporal data mining task and has great significance to the public transportation system. Considering the demand for its grand application, we recognize key factors for an ideal spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Zijian Zhang , Ze Huang , Zhiwei Hu , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Zitao Liu , Junbo Zhang , S. Joe Qin , Hongwei Zhao

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

We present a Bayesian algorithm to combine optical imaging of unresolved objects from distinct epochs and observation platforms for orbit determination and tracking. By propagating the non-Gaussian uncertainties we are able to optimally…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-26 Michael D. Schneider , William A. Dawson

We propose an efficient inference method for switching nonlinear dynamical systems. The key idea is to learn an inference network which can be used as a proposal distribution for the continuous latent variables, while performing exact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Zhe Dong , Bryan A. Seybold , Kevin P. Murphy , Hung H. Bui

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

A new statistical technique for constructing linear latent structure (LLS) models from available data, supported by well established theoretical results and an efficient algorithm, is presented. The method reduces the problem of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 I. Akushevich , M. Kovtun , A. I. Yashin , K. G. Manton

We describe spatio-temporal random processes using linear mixed models. We show how many commonly used models can be viewed as special cases of this general framework and pay close attention to models with separable or product-sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Michael Dumelle , Jay M. Ver Hoef , Claudio Fuentes , Alix Gitelman

In computational chemistry, crystal structure prediction (CSP) is an optimization problem that involves discovering the lowest energy stable crystal structure for a given chemical formula. This problem is challenging as it requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Han Qi , Xinyang Geng , Stefano Rando , Iku Ohama , Aviral Kumar , Sergey Levine

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

We introduce an algorithm which, in the context of nonlinear regression on vector-valued explanatory variables, chooses those combinations of vector components that provide best prediction. The algorithm devotes particular attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Frédéric Ferraty , Peter Hall

Traditional vision-based autonomous driving systems often face difficulties in navigating complex environments when relying solely on single-image inputs. To overcome this limitation, incorporating temporal data such as past image frames or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Tuong Do , Binh X. Nguyen , Quang D. Tran , Erman Tjiputra , Te-Chuan Chiu , Anh Nguyen

The time-dependent fields obtained by solving partial differential equations in two and more dimensions quickly overwhelm the analytical capabilities of the human brain. A meaningful insight into the temporal behaviour can be obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Miha Rot , Martin Horvat , Gregor Kosec

Given that observational and numerical climate data are being produced at ever more prodigious rates, increasingly sophisticated and automated analysis techniques have become essential. Deep learning is quickly becoming a standard approach…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-12 A. Rupe , J. P. Crutchfield , K. Kashinath , Prabhat

We give a polynomial-time algorithm for learning high-dimensional halfspaces with margins in $d$-dimensional space to within desired TV distance when the ambient distribution is an unknown affine transformation of the $d$-fold product of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Xinyuan Cao , Santosh S. Vempala

The real-time prediction of chaotic systems requires a nonlinear-reduced order model (ROM) to forecast the dynamics, and a stream of data from sensors to update the ROM. Data-driven ROMs are typically built with a two-step strategy: data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-19 Elise Özalp , Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

To identify the location of objects of a particular class, a passive computer vision system generally processes all the regions in an image to finally output few regions. However, we can use structure in the scene to search for objects…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Varun K. Nagaraja , Vlad I. Morariu , Larry S. Davis

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor