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In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

Given a probability measure on a finitely generated group, its Martin boundary is a natural way to compactify the group using the Green function of the corresponding random walk. For finitely supported measures in hyperbolic groups, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Sébastien Gouëzel

We present a general non-parametric statistical inference theory for integrals of quantiles without assuming any specific sampling design or dependence structure. Technical considerations are accompanied by examples and discussions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Nadezhda Gribkova , Mengqi Wang , Ričardas Zitikis

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

Let $\H= < a,b | a[a,b]=[a,b]a \wedge b[a,b]=[a,b]b>$ be the discrete Heisenberg group, equipped with the left-invariant word metric $d_W(\cdot,\cdot)$ associated to the generating set ${a,b,a^{-1},b^{-1}}$. Letting $B_n= {x\in \H:…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Vincent Lafforgue , Assaf Naor

The hypergeometric distribution is briefly and informally surveyed, including popular notation, symmetries, and the tail inequalities $Pr[i \ge E[i]+tn] \le e^{-2t^2n}$ and $Pr[i \le E[i]-tn] \le e^{-2t^2n}$.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Matthew Skala

We study the extent of independence needed to approximate the product of bounded random variables in expectation, a natural question that has applications in pseudorandomness and min-wise independent hashing. For random variables whose…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-08-12 Parikshit Gopalan , Amir Yehudayoff

This is the first part of a series of papers devoted to studying the right tail profile of a bulk Gaussian multiplicative chaos measure with uniform singularity on the boundary. We investigate the bulk/boundary quotients of Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Yichao Huang

In this paper, a simplified second-order Gaussian Poincar\'e inequality for normal approximation of functionals over infinitely many Rademacher random variables is derived. It is based on a new bound for the Kolmogorov distance between a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Peter Eichelsbacher , Benedikt Rednoß , Christoph Thäle , Guangqu Zheng

We develop a theory of large scale geometry of metrisable topological groups that, in a significant number of cases, allows one to define and identify a unique quasi-isometry type intrinsic to the topological group. Moreover, this…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Christian Rosendal

We consider the problem of model selection when grouping structure is inherent within the regressors. Using a Bayesian approach, we model the mean vector by a one-group global-local shrinkage prior belonging to a broad class of such priors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Sayantan Paul , Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

By the method of coupling and Girsanov transformation, Harnack inequalities [F.-Y. Wang, 1997] and strong Feller property are proved for the transition semigroup associated with the multivalued stochastic evolution equation on a Gelfand…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Shun-Xiang Ouyang

In this paper we extend the refined second-order Poincar\'e inequality for Poisson functionals from a one-dimensional to a multi-dimensional setting. Its proof is based on a multivariate version of the Malliavin-Stein method for normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Christoph Thäle

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

This work prepares new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, Hermitian tensors. These probability bounds characterize large-deviation behavior of the extreme eigenvalue of the sums of random tensors. We extend Lapalace…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Shih Yu Chang

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

We consider estimating the shared mean of a sequence of heavy-tailed random variables taking values in a Banach space. In particular, we revisit and extend a simple truncation-based mean estimator first proposed by Catoni and Giulini. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Justin Whitehouse , Ben Chugg , Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the estimation of small probabilities or other risk quantities associated with rare but catastrophic events. In the model-based literature, much of the focus has been devoted to efficient Monte Carlo computation or analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Zhiyuan Huang , Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu
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