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When pre-processing observational data via matching, we seek to approximate each unit with maximally similar peers that had an alternative treatment status--essentially replicating a randomized block design. However, as one considers a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-30 Gentry Johnson , Brian Quistorff , Matt Goldman

We introduce two synthetic likelihood methods for Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), to conduct either amortized or targeted inference from experimental observations when a high-fidelity simulator is available. Both methods learn a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Pierre Glaser , Michael Arbel , Samo Hromadka , Arnaud Doucet , Arthur Gretton

Mixture of autoregressions (MoAR) models provide a model-based approach to the clustering of time series data. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of MoAR models requires the evaluation of products of large numbers of densities of normal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-19 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Pierre Orban , Pierre Bellec , Andrew L Janke

Likelihood based-learning of graphical models faces challenges of computational-complexity and robustness to model mis-specification. This paper studies methods that fit parameters directly to maximize a measure of the accuracy of predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Justin Domke

While deep neural networks achieve great performance on fitting the training distribution, the learned networks are prone to overfitting and are susceptible to adversarial attacks. In this regard, a number of mixup based augmentation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Jang-Hyun Kim , Wonho Choo , Hyun Oh Song

Energy-based probabilistic models learned by maximizing the likelihood of the data are limited by the intractability of the partition function. A widely used workaround is to maximize the pseudo-likelihood, which replaces the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-31 Francesco D'Amico , Dario Bocchi , Luca Maria Del Bono , Saverio Rossi , Matteo Negri

An important and yet difficult problem in fitting multivariate mixture models is determining the mixture complexity. We develop theory and a unified framework for finding the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ramani S. Pilla , Francesco Bartolucci , Bruce G. Lindsay

In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware learning from demonstration method by presenting a novel uncertainty estimation method utilizing a mixture density network appropriate for modeling complex and noisy human behaviors. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-21 Sungjoon Choi , Kyungjae Lee , Sungbin Lim , Songhwai Oh

Imitation learning uses data for training policies to solve complex tasks. However, when the training data is collected from human demonstrators, it often leads to multimodal distributions because of the variability in human actions. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Denis Blessing , Onur Celik , Xiaogang Jia , Moritz Reuss , Maximilian Xiling Li , Rudolf Lioutikov , Gerhard Neumann

The usual setting for learning the structure and parameters of a graphical model assumes the availability of independent samples produced from the corresponding multivariate probability distribution. However, for many models the mixing time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Arkopal Dutt , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

We study the problem of learning a mixture of multiple linear dynamical systems (LDSs) from unlabeled short sample trajectories, each generated by one of the LDS models. Despite the wide applicability of mixture models for time-series data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-26 Yanxi Chen , H. Vincent Poor

We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders

We propose two neural network based mixture models in this article. The proposed mixture models are explicit in nature. The explicit models have analytical forms with the advantages of computing likelihood and efficiency of generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Dong Liu , Minh Thành Vu , Saikat Chatterjee , Lars K. Rasmussen

This paper studies how to learn parameters in diagonal Gaussian mixture models. The problem can be formulated as computing incomplete symmetric tensor decompositions. We use generating polynomials to compute incomplete symmetric tensor…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Bingni Guo , Jiawang Nie , Zi Yang

This paper is concerned with learning of mixture regression models for individuals that are measured repeatedly. The adjective "unsupervised" implies that the number of mixing components is unknown and has to be determined, ideally by data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Peirong Xu , Heng Peng , Tao Huang

Machine learning techniques are used in a wide range of domains. However, machine learning models often suffer from the problem of over-fitting. Many data augmentation methods have been proposed to tackle such a problem, and one of them is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Masanari Kimura

A pseudo independent (PI) model is a probabilistic domain model (PDM) where proper subsets of a set of collectively dependent variables display marginal independence. PI models cannot be learned correctly by many algorithms that rely on a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Jun Hu , Yang Xiang

Many recent methods for unsupervised or self-supervised representation learning train feature extractors by maximizing an estimate of the mutual information (MI) between different views of the data. This comes with several immediate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Michael Tschannen , Josip Djolonga , Paul K. Rubenstein , Sylvain Gelly , Mario Lucic

In this paper, we present a novel approach to fitting mixture models based on estimating first the posterior distribution of the auxiliary variables that assign each observation to a group in the mixture. The posterior distributions of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-29 Virgilio Gomez-Rubio
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