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Stochastic epidemic models on networks are inherently high-dimensional and the resulting exact models are intractable numerically even for modest network sizes. Mean-field models provide an alternative but can only capture average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-03 Francesco Di Lauro , Jean-Charles Croix , Luc Berthouze , István Kiss

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

We study the threshold dynamics of a stochastic SAIRS-type model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals is explicitly considered in the epidemic dynamics. In the model, the values of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Stefania Ottaviano

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

Transmission dynamics of infectious diseases are often studied using compartmental mathematical models, which are commonly represented as systems of autonomous ordinary differential equations. A key step in the analysis of such models is to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-15 David J. D. Earn , C. Connell McCluskey

We investigate the global behaviour of a SIRI epidemic model with distributed delay and relapse. From the theory of functional differential equations with delay, we prove that the solution of the system is unique, bounded, and positive, for…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Abdelhai Elazzouzi , Abdesslem Lamrani Alaoui , Mouhcine Tilioua , Delfim F. M. Torres

We study a nonlocal SIS epidemic model with free boundaries, advection, and spatial heterogeneity, where the dispersal kernels are not assumed to be symmetric. The model describes the evolution of susceptible and infected populations in a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Soufiane Bentout , Hoang-Hung Vo

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

We consider an epidemiological model that includes waning and boosting of immunity. Assuming that repeated exposure to the pathogen fully restores immunity, we derive an SIRS-type model with discrete and distributed delays. First we prove…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Maria Vittoria Barbarossa , Monika Polner , Gergely Röst

We consider an infinite-dimension SIS model introduced by Delmas, Dronnier and Zitt, with a more general incidence rate, and study its equilibria. Unsurprisingly, there exists at least one endemic equilibrium if and only if the basic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Jean-François Delmas , Kacem Lefki , Pierre-André Zitt

This paper focuses on the analysis of a stochastic SAIRS-type epidemic model that explicitly incorporates the roles of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals in disease transmission dynamics. Asymptomatic carriers, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Brahim Boukanjime , Mohamed El Fatini , Mohamed Maama

This paper studies the dynamics of a network-based SIRS epidemic model with vaccination and a nonmonotone incidence rate. This type of nonlinear incidence can be used to describe the psychological or inhibitory effect from the behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-14 Lijun Liu , Xiaodan Wei , Naimin Zhang

A stochastic SIR epidemic model taking into account the heterogeneity of the spatial environment is constructed. The deterministic model is given by a partial differential equation and the stochastic one by a space-time jump Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Thierry Gallouët , Etienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

The primary goal of this research is to investigate the impact of delay on the dynamics of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Death and Susceptible (SEIRDS) model, to which we add a stochastic term to account for uncertainty in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-17 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Walid Ben Aribi , Slimane Ben Miled

Assuming a general distribution for the sojourn time in the in- fectious class, we consider an SIS type epidemic model formulated as a scalar integral equation. We prove that the endemic equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Yukihiko Nakata , Gergely Rost

In this paper we study the Kernack - MacKendrick model under telegraph noise. The telegraph noise switches at random between two SIRS models. We give out conditions for the persistence of the disease and the stability of a disease free…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-07 N. T. Hieu , N. H. Du , P. Auger , N. H. Dang