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This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Bogdan Batko , Marcio Gameiro , Ying Hung , William Kalies , Konstantin Mischaikow , Ewerton Vieira

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a booming discipline for complex computational models based on the analysis of robustness, reliability and credibility. UQ analysis for nonlinear crash models with high dimensional outputs presents…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Xabier Larrayoz , Pedro Díez

In this study, the applicability of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansion for land surface model parameter estimation is evaluated. We compute the (posterior) distribution of the critical hydrological parameters that are subject to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Georgios Karagiannis , Zhangshuan Hou , Maoyi Huang , Guang Lin

Uncertainty quantification in aerodynamic simulations calls for efficient numerical methods since it is computationally expensive, especially for the uncertainties caused by random geometry variations which involve a large number of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Dishi Liu , Alexander Litvinenko , Claudia Schillings , Volker Schulz

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCEs) are widely recognized for their efficient computational performance in surrogate modeling. Yet, a robust framework to quantify local model errors is still lacking. While the local uncertainty of PCE…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 A. Hatstatt , X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Surrogate-modelling techniques including Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is commonly used for statistical estimation (aka. Uncertainty Quantification) of quantities of interests obtained from expensive computational models. PCE is a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Fatigue crack growth is one of the most common types of deterioration in metal structures with significant implications on their reliability. Recent advances in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) have motivated the use of structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-12 Nicholas E. Silionis , Konstantinos N. Anyfantis

We propose a novel method for establishing the sparsity of the coefficients of the Laguerre generalized polynomial chaos expansion of solutions to parametric elliptic PDEs with log-gamma inputs on $\mathbb{R}_+^\infty$. The established…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Dinh Dũng , Van Kien Nguyen , Viet Ha Hoang

The paper presents a novel methodology to build surrogate models of complicated functions by an active learning-based sequential decomposition of the input random space and construction of localized polynomial chaos expansions, referred to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields , Václav Sadílek , Miroslav Vořechovský

Creating low dimensional representations of a high dimensional data set is an important component in many machine learning applications. How to cluster data using their low dimensional embedded space is still a challenging problem in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Zahra Moslehi , Abdolreza Mirzaei , Mehran Safayani

We present a computational framework for dimension reduction and surrogate modeling to accelerate uncertainty quantification in computationally intensive models with high-dimensional inputs and function-valued outputs. Our driving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Helen Cleaves , Alen Alexanderian , Bilal Saad

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Existing model validation studies in geoscience often disregard or partly account for uncertainties in observations, model choices, and input parameters. In this work, we develop a statistical framework that incorporates a probabilistic…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is receiving more and more attention for engineering applications in particular from robust optimization. Indeed, running a computer experiment only provides a limited knowledge in terms of uncertainty and…

For the purpose of uncertainty quantification with collocation, a method is proposed for generating families of one-dimensional nested quadrature rules with positive weights and symmetric nodes. This is achieved through a reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-20 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Koren , R. P. Dwight
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