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We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Social dynamics is concerned primarily with interactions among individuals and the resulting group behaviors, modeling the temporal evolution of social systems via the interactions of individuals within these systems. In particular, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-08 Zhen Xu , Wen Dong , Sargur Srihari

The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 M. H. Vainstein , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

We study long-range interacting systems driven by external stochastic forces that act collectively on all the particles constituting the system. Such a scenario is frequently encountered in the context of plasmas, self-gravitating systems,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-03 Cesare Nardini , Shamik Gupta , Stefano Ruffo , Thierry Dauxois , Freddy Bouchet

We consider continuous space-time decay-surge population models which are semi- stochastic processes for which deterministically declining populations, bound to fade away, are rein- vigorated at random times by bursts or surges of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We show that a simple nonlinear differential equation (originally studied in the physics of disordered systems) is able to mathematically describe the global population growth over the past 12000 years. Different regimes of population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Alessio Zaccone , Kostya Trachenko

We discuss the stochastic process of creation and annihilation of particles, i.e., the $A^{n} \rightleftarrows B$ process in which $n$ particles $A$s and one particle $B$ are transformed to each other. Considering the case that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-23 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

The central goal of a dynamical theory of evolution is to abstract the mean evolutionary trajectory in the trait space by considering ecological processes at the level of the individual. In this work, we develop such a theory for a new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-25 Vaibhav Madhok

In this work we study the stochastic process of two-species coagulation. This process consists in the aggregation dynamics taking place in a ring. Particles and clusters of particles are set in this ring and they can move either clockwise…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-04-22 Carlos Escudero , Fabricio Macia , Raul Toral , Juan J. L. Velazquez

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

We study simple stochastic scenarios, based on birth-and-death Markovian processes, that describe populations with Allee effect, to account for the role of demographic stochasticity. In the mean-field deterministic limit we recover…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-06 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

We propose and investigate general kinetic models %of Boltzmann type with transition probabilities that can describe the simultaneous change of multiple microscopic states of the interacting agents. These models can be applied to many…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-02-23 Marzia Bisi , Nadia Loy

We investigate a simple quantitative genetics model subjet to a gradual environmental change from the viewpoint of the phylogenies of the living individuals. We aim to understand better how the past traits of their ancestors are shaped by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Vincent Calvez , Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

There has been renewed interest in understanding the mathematical structure of ecological population models that lead to overcompensation, the process by which a population recovers to a higher level after suffering a permanent increase in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Xiangting Li , Tom Chou

We present a derivation of a recently proposed theory for the time dependence of density fluctuations in stationary states of strongly interacting, athermal, self-propelled particles. The derivation consists of two steps. First, we start…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-01-13 Grzegorz Szamel

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb