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Complex nonequilibrium systems are often effectively described by a `statistics of a statistics', in short, a `superstatistics'. We describe how to proceed from a given experimental time series to a superstatistical description. We argue…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Christian Beck , Ezechiel G. D. Cohen , Harry L. Swinney

We report a general technique to study a given experimental time series with superstatistics. Crucial for the applicability of the superstatistics concept is the existence of a parameter $\beta$ that fluctuates on a large time scale as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Erik Van der Straeten , Christian Beck

One of the standardized features of financial data is that log-returns are uncorrelated, but absolute log-returns or their squares namely the fluctuating volatility are correlated and is characterized by heavy tailed in the sense that some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Superstatistics is a widely employed tool of non-equilibrium statistical physics which plays an important role in analysis of hierarchical complex dynamical systems. Yet, its "canonical" formulation in terms of a single nuisance parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-10 Petr Jizba , Jan Korbel , Hynek Lavička , Martin Prokš , Václav Svoboda , Christian Beck

We provide an overview on superstatistical techniques applied to complex systems with time scale separation. Three examples of recent applications are dealt with in somewhat more detail: the statistics of small-scale velocity differences in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-15 Christian Beck

The symbolic dynamics technique is well-known for low-dimensional dynamical systems and chaotic maps, and lies at the roots of the thermodynamic formalism of dynamical systems. Here we show that this technique can also be successfully…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-02 Dan Xu , Christian Beck

We propose a simple stochastic volatility model which is analytically tractable, very easy to simulate and which captures some relevant stylized facts of financial assets, including scaling properties. In particular, the model displays a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-20 Alessandro Andreoli , Francesco Caravenna , Paolo Dai Pra , Gustavo Posta

It is often necessary to compare the power spectra of two or more time series: one may, for instance, wish to estimate what the power spectrum of the combined data sets might have been, or one may wish to estimate the significance of a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. A. Sturrock , M. S. Wheatland

A stochastic analysis of financial data is presented. In particular we investigate how the statistics of log returns change with different time delays $\tau$. The scale dependent behaviour of financial data can be divided into two regions.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Andreas P. Nawroth , Joachim Peinke

Nonequilibrium complex systems are often effectively described by the mixture of different dynamics on different time scales. Superstatistics, which is "statistics of statistics" with two largely separated time scales, offers a consistent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Sumiyoshi Abe

We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-23 Noemi Nava , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

In this survey, a short introduction in the recent discovery of log-normally distributed market-technical trend data will be given. The results of the statistical evaluation of typical market-technical trend variables will be presented. It…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-12 René Kempen , Stanislaus Maier-Paape

A new approach is presented to describe the change in the statistics of the log return distribution of financial data as a function of the timescale. To this purpose a measure is introduced, which quantifies the distance of a considered…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Andreas P. Nawroth , Joachim Peinke

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a stochastic process with long-range correlated absolute returns. We find that the model is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Serva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

Properties of low-variability periods in the time series are analysed. The theoretical approach is used to show the relationship between the multi-scaling of low-variability periods and multi-affinity of the time series. It is shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Kitt , J. Kalda

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond
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