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Enriching Brownian motion with regenerations from a fixed regeneration distribution $\mu$ at a particular regeneration rate $\kappa$ results in a Markov process that has a target distribution $\pi$ as its invariant distribution. For the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Hector McKimm , Andi Q Wang , Murray Pollock , Christian P Robert , Gareth O Roberts

In this paper, we study one dimensional Markov processes with spatial delay. Since the seminal work of Feller, we know that virtually any one dimensional, strong, homogeneous, continuous Markov process can be uniquely characterized via its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

In this paper, we study darning of general symmetric Markov processes by shorting some parts of the state space into singletons. A natural way to construct such processes is via Dirichlet forms restricted to the function space whose members…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Jun Peng

We consider a class of non-homogeneous Markov chains, that contains many natural examples. Next, using martingale methods, we establish some deviation and moment inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions of such a chain, under moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

Let $R$ be a continuous-time Markov process on the time interval $[0,1]$ with values in some state space $X$. We transform this reference process $R$ into $P:=f(X_0)\exp (-\int_0^1 V_t(X_t) dt) g(X_1)\,R$ where $f,g$ are nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Christian Léonard

We introduce a class of Markov chains, that contains the model of stochastic approximation by averaging and non-averaging. Using martingale approximation method, we establish various deviation inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

Given a general It\^o semimartingale, its Markovian projection is an It\^o process, with Markovian differential characteristics, that matches the one-dimensional marginal laws of the original process. We construct Markovian projections for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

We construct the analogue of the local time -- at a fixed point $x$ -- for Markov processes indexed by Levy trees. We start by proving that Markov processes indexed by Levy trees satisfy a special Markov property which can be thought as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Armand Riera , Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

This paper contributes to the study of relative martingales. Specifically, for a closed random set $H$, they are processes null on $H$ which decompose as $M=m+v$, where $m$ is a c\`adl\`ag uniformly integrable martingale and, $v$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Fulgence Eyi Obiang , Paule Joyce Mbenangoya , Ibrahima Faye , Octave Moutsinga

Markovian growth-fragmentation processes introduced by Bertoin extend the pure fragmentation model by allowing the fragments to grow larger or smaller between dislocation events. What becomes of the known asymptotic behaviors of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Benjamin Dadoun

We construct a family of genealogy-valued Markov processes that are induced by a continuous-time Markov population process. We derive exact expressions for the likelihood of a given genealogy conditional on the history of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

We define a Markov process on the partitions of $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by drawing a sample in $[n]$ at each time of a Poisson process, by merging blocks that contain one of these points and by leaving all other blocks unchanged. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Sophie Lemaire

In this paper, we introduce a class of processes that contains many natural examples. The interesting feature of such type processes lays on its infinite memory that allows it to record a quite ancient history. Then, using the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

We introduce a variational theory for processes adapted to the multi-dimensional Brownian motion filtration. The theory provides a differential structure which describes the infinitesimal evolution of Wiener functionals at very small…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Alberto Ohashi , Dorival Leão , Alexandre B. Simas

We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Zhaoyang Liu , Yuying Liu , Guoxin Liu
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