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We discuss a weighted estimation of correlation and covariance matrices from historical financial data. To this end, we introduce a weighting scheme that accounts for similarity of previous market conditions to the present one. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-01 Michael C. Münnix , Rudi Schäfer , Oliver Grothe

The geometric median covariation matrix is a robust multivariate indicator of dispersion which can be extended without any difficulty to functional data. We define estimators, based on recursive algorithms, that can be simply updated at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Hervé Cardot , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

This paper proposes a dynamic process of portfolio risk measurement to address potential information loss. The proposed model takes advantage of financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information that may be missed when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Kwangmin Jung , Donggyu Kim , Seunghyeon Yu

We study low-rank matrix regression in settings where matrix-valued predictors and scalar responses are observed across multiple individuals. Rather than assuming a fully homogeneous coefficient matrices across individuals, we accommodate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Wenyang Zhang

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

In this paper, the estimation of the Integrated Covariance matrix from high-frequency data, for high dimensional stock price process, is considered. The Hayashi-Yoshida covolatility estimator is an improvement over Realized covolatility for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-04 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

The factor modeling for high-dimensional time series is powerful in discovering latent common components for dimension reduction and information extraction. Most available estimation methods can be divided into two categories: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang , Qiwei Yao , Bo Zhang

This paper addresses the fundamental task of estimating covariance matrix functions for high-dimensional functional data/functional time series. We consider two functional factor structures encompassing either functional factors with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang

Factor analysis is a widely used statistical tool in many scientific disciplines, such as psychology, economics, and sociology. As observations linked by networks become increasingly common, incorporating network structures into factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Jinming Li , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

High-frequency data observed on the prices of financial assets are commonly modeled by diffusion processes with micro-structure noise, and realized volatility-based methods are often used to estimate integrated volatility. For problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Yazhen Wang , Jian Zou

Graphical models are a powerful tool to estimate a high-dimensional inverse covariance (precision) matrix, which has been applied for a portfolio allocation problem. The assumption made by these models is a sparsity of the precision matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

This paper is concerned with optimizing the global minimum-variance portfolio's (GMVP) weights in high-dimensional settings where both observation and population dimensions grow at a bounded ratio. Optimizing the GMVP weights is highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Maaz Mahadi , Tarig Ballal , Muhammad Moinuddin , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Ubaid Al-Saggaf

Robust estimation is much more challenging in high dimensions than it is in one dimension: Most techniques either lead to intractable optimization problems or estimators that can tolerate only a tiny fraction of errors. Recent work in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Ilias Diakonikolas , Gautam Kamath , Daniel M. Kane , Jerry Li , Ankur Moitra , Alistair Stewart

The paper tackles the problem of deriving a topological structure among stock prices from high frequency historical values. Similar studies using low frequency data have already provided valuable insights. However, in those cases data need…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Donatello Materassi , Giacomo Innocenti

This paper resolves a question proposed in Kardaras and Robertson [Ann. Appl. Probab. 22 (2012) 1576-1610]: how to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where precise knowledge of the covariance structure of the underlying…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-09 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang

Minimum-variance portfolio optimizations rely on accurate covariance estimator to obtain optimal portfolios. However, it usually suffers from large error from sample covariance matrix when the sample size $n$ is not significantly larger…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-04 JunTao Duan , Ionel Popescu

Compositional data arise in many areas of research in the natural and biomedical sciences. One prominent example is in the study of the human gut microbiome, where one can measure the relative abundance of many distinct microorganisms in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-26 Aaron J. Molstad , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Piotr M. Suder

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

In this paper, we propose a new test for testing the equality of two population covariance matrices in the ultra-high dimensional setting that the dimension is much larger than the sizes of both of the two samples. Our proposed methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Xiucai Ding , Yichen Hu , Zhenggang Wang

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick