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In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

In this paper, we study the problem of testing the mean vectors of high dimensional data in both one-sample and two-sample cases. The proposed testing procedures employ maximum-type statistics and the parametric bootstrap techniques to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Jinyuan Chang , Chao Zheng , Wen-Xin Zhou , Wen Zhou

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing equality of the covariance matrices of L complex Gaussian multivariate time series of dimension $M$ . We study the special case where each of the L covariance matrices is modeled as a rank K…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Rémi Beisson , Pascal Vallet , Audrey Giremus , Guillaume Ginolhac

We establish a comprehensive sample path large deviation principle (LDP) for log-processes associated with multivariate time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models. Examples of models for which the new LDP holds include Gaussian models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Archil Gulisashvili

We find the asymptotic distribution of the sample autocovariances of long-memory processes in cases of finite and infinite fourth moment. Depending on the interplay of assumptions on moments and the intensity of dependence, there are three…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka

This article introduces a novel and computationally fast model to study the association between covariates and power spectra of replicated time series. A random covariate-dependent Cram\'{e}r spectral representation and a semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-03 Zeda Li , Yuexiao Dong

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

Simultaneous inference for high-dimensional non-Gaussian time series is always considered to be a challenging problem. Such tasks require not only robust estimation of the coefficients in the random process, but also deriving limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

We consider infinite-dimensional Hilbert space-valued random variables that are assumed to be temporal dependent in a broad sense. We prove a central limit theorem for the moving block bootstrap and for the tapered block bootstrap, and show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-24 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

We introduce a new ``$(m,mp/n)$ out of $(n,p)$'' sampling-with-replace\-ment bootstrap for eigenvalue statistics of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices based on $n$ independent $p$-dimensional random vectors. As it only uses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Holger Dette , Angelika Rohde

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

This paper considers a new bootstrap procedure to estimate the distribution of high-dimensional $\ell_p$-statistics, i.e. the $\ell_p$-norms of the sum of $n$ independent $d$-dimensional random vectors with $d \gg n$ and $p \in [1,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-18 Alexander Giessing , Jianqing Fan

This paper is concerned with extensions of the classical Mar\v{c}enko-Pastur law to time series. Specifically, $p$-dimensional linear processes are considered which are built from innovation vectors with independent, identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Haoyang Liu , Alexander Aue , Debashis Paul

Multivariate time series (MTS) data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in diverse domains, e.g., IoT systems, health informatics, and 5G networks. To obtain an effective representation of MTS data, it is not only essential to consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Shaoyu Dou , Pan Luo , Sijia Liu , Dongjin Song

The second-order dependence structure of purely nondeterministic stationary process is described by the coefficients of the famous Wold representation. These coefficients can be obtained by factorizing the spectral density of the process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Jonas Krampe , Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

This work concerns the estimation of multidimensional nonlinear regression models using multilayer perceptrons (MLPs). The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to get an optimal estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-22 Joseph Rynkiewicz

Time-series prediction or forecasting is critical across many real-world dynamic systems, and recent studies have proposed using Large Language Models (LLMs) for this task due to their strong generalization capabilities and ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Chamara Madarasingha , Nasrin Sohrabi , Zahir Tari

In applied research, it is often sensible to account for one or several covariates when testing for differences between multivariate means of several groups. However, the "classical" parametric multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 Georg Zimmermann , Markus Pauly , Arne C. Bathke

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps
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