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This paper addresses the open problem of conducting change-point analysis for interval-valued time series data using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework. Motivated by financial time series, we analyze data that includes daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

In this paper, we introduce a variant of hidden Markov models in which the transition probabilities between the states, as well as the emission distributions, are not constant in time but vary in a periodic manner. This class of models,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-23 Augustin Touron

We provide an efficient unified plug-in approach for estimating symmetric properties of distributions given $n$ independent samples. Our estimator is based on profile-maximum-likelihood (PML) and is sample optimal for estimating various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Moses Charikar , Zhihao Jiang , Kirankumar Shiragur , Aaron Sidford

Diffusion processes on trees are commonly used in evolutionary biology to model the joint distribution of continuous traits, such as body mass, across species. Estimating the parameters of such processes from tip values presents challenges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-27 Cécile Ané , Lam Si Tung Ho , Sebastien Roch

The inherent bias pathology of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is confirmed for models with unknown parameters $\theta$ and $\psi$ when MLE $\hat \psi$ is function of MLE $\hat \theta.$ To reduce $\hat \psi$'s bias the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-11 Yannis G. Yatracos

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation is widely used in statistics. The h-likelihood has been proposed as an extension of Fisher's likelihood to statistical models including unobserved latent variables of recent interest. Its advantage is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee , Jae Kwang Kim

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

This paper develops a new class of conditional Markov jump processes with regime switching and paths dependence. The key novel feature of the developed process lies on its ability to switch the transition rate as it moves from one state to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Budhi Surya

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

This paper defines a Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the admittance matrix estimation of distribution grids, utilising voltage magnitude and power measurements collected only from common, unsychronised measuring devices (Smart…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-06 Lisa Laurent , Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Paired estimation of change in parameters of interest over a population plays a central role in several application domains including those in the social sciences, epidemiology, medicine and biology. In these domains, the size of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Sham M. Kakade

Joint maximum likelihood (JML) estimation is one of the earliest approaches to fitting item response theory (IRT) models. This procedure treats both the item and person parameters as unknown but fixed model parameters and estimates them…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-17 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li , Siliang Zhang

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

We propose a new method for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of nonlinear mixed effects models when the variance matrix of Gaussian random effects has a prescribed pattern of zeros (PPZ). The method consists in coupling the recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-11 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

Empirical economic research frequently applies maximum likelihood estimation in cases where the likelihood function is analytically intractable. Most of the theoretical literature focuses on maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimators,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-13 Michael Griebel , Florian Heiss , Jens Oettershagen , Constantin Weiser

We study the phase transition phenomenon inherent in the shuffled (permuted) regression problem, which has found numerous applications in databases, privacy, data analysis, etc. In this study, we aim to precisely identify the locations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Hang Zhang , Ping Li