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This paper derives the exact transition density and cumulative distribution function of a linear combination of two independent Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes. By combining the Poisson Gamma mixture representation of the noncentral…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Bilgi Yilmaz , Alper Hekimoglu

This article explores the generalized analysis-of-variance or ANOVA dimensional decomposition (ADD) for multivariate functions of dependent random variables. Two notable properties, stemming from weakened annihilating conditions, reveal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Sharif Rahman

Distance distributions are a key building block in stochastic geometry modelling of wireless networks and in many other fields in mathematics and science. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for analytically computing the closed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-20 Ross Pure , Salman Durrani , Fei Tong , Jianping Pan

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

Random processes play a crucial role in scientific research, often characterized by distribution functions or probability density functions (PDFs). These PDFs serve as essential approximations of the actual and frequently undisclosed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Nico Schick

The probability density function (PDF) of a random variable associated with the solution of a partial differential equation (PDE) with random parameters is approximated using a truncated series expansion. The random PDE is solved using two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger , Henry P. Wynn

Generalized universality, as recently proposed, postulates a universal non-Gaussian form of the probability density function (PDF) of certain global observables for a wide class of highly correlated systems of finite volume N. Studying the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. Mack , G. Palma , L. Vergara

Within the field of hierarchical modelling, little attention is paid to micro-macro models: those in which group-level outcomes are dependent on covariates measured at the level of individuals within groups. Although such models are perhaps…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-06 Shaun McDonald , Alexandre Leblanc , Saman Muthukumarana , David Campbell

A parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of the pdf, yielding estimates that perform…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Dudok de Wit , E. Floriani

In this paper, we study a multidimensional risk model with a common renewal process and in the presence of a constant interest force. The claim sizes are independent and identically distributed random vectors, with the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Jiajun Liu , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Estimation of the operational risk capital under the Loss Distribution Approach requires evaluation of aggregate (compound) loss distributions which is one of the classic problems in risk theory. Closed-form solutions are not available for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Pavel V. Shevchenko

In data science, it is often required to estimate dependencies between different data sources. These dependencies are typically calculated using Pearson's correlation, distance correlation, and/or mutual information. However, none of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Rahul Agarwal , Pierre Sacre , Sridevi V. Sarma

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira

There are some real life issues that are exists in nature which has early failure. This type of problems can be modelled either by a complex distribution having more than one parameter or by finite mixture of some distribution. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Brijesh P. Singh , Utpal Dhar Das , Sandeep Singh

In this article, inferences about the multicomponent stress strength reliability are drawn under the assumption that strength and stress follow independent Pareto distribution with different shapes $(\alpha_1,\alpha_2)$ and common scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Qazi Azhad Jamal , Mohd. Arshad , Nancy Khandelwal

We introduce a class of continuous-time bivariate phase-type distributions for modeling dependencies from common shocks. The construction uses continuous-time Markov processes that evolve identically until an internal common-shock event,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta , Jorge Yslas

The insurance model when the amount of claims depends on the state of the insured person (healthy, ill, or dead) and claims are connected in a Markov chain is investigated. The signed compound Poisson approximation is applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Gabija Liaudanskaitė , Vydas Čekanavičius

Motivated by the need, in some Bayesian likelihood free inference problems, of imputing a multivariate counting distribution based on its vector of means and variance-covariance matrix, we define a generic multivariate discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2011-03-28 Marcos Capistrán , J. Andrés Christen

The Beta Rank Function (BRF) $x(u) =A(1-u)^b/u^a$, where $u$ is the normalized and continuous rank of an observation $x$, has wide applications in fitting real-world data from social science to biological phenomena. The underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Oscar Fontanelli , Pedro Miramontes , Ricardo Mansilla , Germinal Cocho , Wentian Li

A reparametrized Dirichlet-multinomial distribution is introduced, and the covariance matrix, as well as, the algorithm for calculating the PDF for n species are provided. The distribution is suited for modelling the joint distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-04 Christian Damgaard