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Related papers: Bootstrap Bias Corrections for Ensemble Methods

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Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-29 Jinyong Hahn , David W. Hughes , Guido Kuersteiner , Whitney K. Newey

Ensembles are a straightforward, remarkably effective method for improving the accuracy,calibration, and robustness of models on classification tasks; yet, the reasons that underlie their success remain an active area of research. We build…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Neha Gupta , Jamie Smith , Ben Adlam , Zelda Mariet

This paper investigates bootstrap-based bias correction of semiparametric estimators of the long memory parameter, $d$, in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Don S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose

Addressing biases in AI models is crucial for ensuring fair and accurate predictions. However, obtaining large, unbiased datasets for training can be challenging. This paper proposes a comprehensive approach using multiple methods to remove…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Ahmed Radwan , Layan Zaafarani , Jetana Abudawood , Faisal AlZahrani , Fares Fourati

In this paper we propose using the principle of boosting to reduce the bias of a random forest prediction in the regression setting. From the original random forest fit we extract the residuals and then fit another random forest to these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Indrayudh Ghosal , Giles Hooker

A decision tree is one of the most popular approaches in machine learning fields. However, it suffers from the problem of overfitting caused by overly deepened trees. Then, a meta-tree is recently proposed. It solves the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Ryota Maniwa , Naoki Ichijo , Yuta Nakahara , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

Estimating nonlinear functionals of probability distributions from samples is a fundamental statistical problem. The "plug-in" estimator obtained by applying the target functional to the empirical distribution of samples is biased.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Florian Schäfer

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

When training deep learning models for least-squares regression, we cannot expect that the training error residuals of the final model, selected after a fixed training time or based on performance on a hold-out data set, sum to zero. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Christian Igel , Stefan Oehmcke

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-31 Roberto Aldave , Jean-Pierre Dussault

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Accurate statistical inference in logistic regression models remains a critical challenge when the ratio between the number of parameters and sample size is not negligible. This is because approximations based on either classical asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Qian Zhao , Emmanuel J. Candes

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Random Forests (RF) are among the state-of-the-art in many machine learning applications. With the ongoing integration of ML models into everyday life, the deployment and continuous application of models becomes more and more an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sebastian Buschjäger , Katharina Morik

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Machine learning techniques always aim to reduce the generalized prediction error. In order to reduce it, ensemble methods present a good approach combining several models that results in a greater forecasting capacity. The Random Machines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

Ensemble models often achieve higher accuracy than single learners, but their ability to maintain small generalization gaps is not always well understood. This study examines how ensembles balance accuracy and overfitting across four…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Zubair Ahmed Mohammad