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This paper provides convergence analysis for the approximation of a class of path-dependent functionals underlying a continuous stochastic process. In the first part, given a sequence of weak convergent processes, we provide a sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Qingshuo Song , George Yin , Qing Zhang

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

In this paper, we consider a fundamental class of stochastic differential equations with time delays. Our aim is to investigate the weak convergence with respect to delay parameter of the solutions. Based on the techniques of Malliavin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-07 T. C. Son , N. T. Dung , N. V. Tan , T. M. Cuong , H. T. P. Thao , P. D. Tung

We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

We introduce a novel class of credit risk models in which the drift of the survival process of a firm is a linear function of the factors. The prices of defaultable bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) are linear-rational in the factors.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

We consider the problem of approximation of density functions which is important in the theory of pricing of basket options. Our method is well adopted to the multidimensional case. Observe that implementations of polynomial and spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Alexander Kushpel

We study dynamic hedging of counterparty risk for a portfolio of credit derivatives. Our empirically driven credit model consists of interacting default intensities which ramp up and then decay after the occurrence of credit events. Using…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi , Claudia Ceci

Trading activities in financial systems create various channels through which systemic risk can propagate. An important contagion channel is financial fire sales, where a bank failure causes asset prices to fall due to asset liquidation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-08 Tomokatsu Onaga , Fabio Caccioli , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

This article presents a new model for valuing a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by multiple credit risks of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-22 Alan White

In this paper, we employ Credit Default Swaps (CDS) to model the joint and conditional distress probabilities of banks in Europe and the U.S. using factor copulas. We propose multi-factor, structured factor, and factor-vine models where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-09 Hoang Nguyen , Audronė Virbickaitė , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

We consider the weak convergence of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Weak convergence is usually expressed in terms of the convergence of expected values of test functions of the trajectories. Here we present…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-28 Benoit Charbonneau , Yuriy Svyrydov , P. F. Tupper

Modelling systems with networks has been a powerful approach to tame the complexity of several phenomena. Unfortunately, such an approach is often made difficult by the large number of variables to take into consideration. Methods of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-17 Gianmarco Ricciardi , Guido Montagna , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

In this paper, we develop a general methodology to prove weak uniqueness for stochastic differential equations with coefficients depending on some path-functionals of the process. As an extension of the technique developed by Bass \&…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Noufel Frikha , Libo Li

We show that shortfall risks of American options in a sequence of multinomial approximations of the multidimensional Black--Scholes (BS) market converge to the corresponding quantities for similar American options in the multidimensional BS…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Yan Dolinsky

We prove convergence of the proximal policy gradient method for a class of constrained stochastic control problems with control in both the drift and diffusion of the state process. The problem requires either the running or terminal cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Ashley Davey , Harry Zheng

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Fabio Caccioli , Thomas A. Catanach , J. Doyne Farmer

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

This paper studies equity basket options -- i.e., multi-dimensional derivatives whose payoffs depend on the value of a weighted sum of the underlying stocks -- and develops a new and innovative approach to ensure consistency between options…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Lech A. Grzelak , Juliusz Jablecki , Dariusz Gatarek
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