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We propose three methods for forecasting a time series modeled using a functional coefficient autoregressive model (FCAR) fit via spline-backfitted local linear (SBLL) smoothing. The three methods are a "naive" plug-in method, a bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-17 Joshua Patrick , Jane Harvill , Justin Sims

Application of nonparametric and semiparametric regression techniques to high-dimensional time series data has been hampered due to the lack of effective tools to address the ``curse of dimensionality.'' Under rather weak conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Li Wang , Lijian Yang

We propose a generalized partially linear functional single index risk score model for repeatedly measured outcomes where the index itself is a function of time. We fuse the nonparametric kernel method and regression spline method, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Yuanjia Wang

Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-17 Edgar A. Valencia , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Motivated by the remarkable success of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) in regression modelling, we propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian method, termed Functional BART (FBART), tailored specifically for function-on-scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jiahao Cao , Shiyuan He , Bohai Zhang

The paper introduces a flexible model for the analysis of multivariate nonlinear time series data. The proposed Functional Coefficients Network Autoregressive (FCNAR) model considers the response of each node in the network to depend in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Functional regression is very crucial in functional data analysis and a linear relationship between scalar response and functional predictor is often assumed. However, the linear assumption may not hold in practice, which makes the methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Rou Zhong , Dongxue Wang , Jingxiao Zhang

The classical functional linear regression model (FLM) and its extensions, which are based on the assumption that all individuals are mutually independent, have been well studied and are used by many researchers. This independence…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-02 Tingting Huang , Gilbert Saporta , Huiwen Wang , Shanshan Wang

Mixed spatial autoregressive (SAR) models with numerical covariates have been well studied. However, as non-numerical data, such as functional data and compositional data, receive substantial amounts of attention and are applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-08 Huiwen Wang , Tingting Huang , Shanshan Wang

This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Shaoyang Li , Maozai Tian

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

This paper introduces a new kind of seasonal fractional autoregressive process (SFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). The new model includes a standard seasonal AR model and fGn. {The estimation of the parameters of this new…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

Quantile regression is a powerful tool capable of offering a richer view of the data as compared to least-squares regression. Quantile regression is typically performed individually on a few quantiles or a grid of quantiles without…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li , Nimrod Megiddo

We study additive function-on-function regression where the mean response at a particular time point depends on the time point itself as well as the entire covariate trajectory. We develop a computationally efficient estimation methodology…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-15 Janet S. Kim , Ana-Maria Staicu , Arnab Maity , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

The quantile spectrum was introduced in Li (2012; 2014) as an alternative tool for spectral analysis of time series. It has the capability of providing a richer view of time series data than that offered by the ordinary spectrum especially…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li

In supervised learning, the output variable to be predicted is often represented as a function, such as a spectrum or probability distribution. Despite its importance, functional output regression remains relatively unexplored. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Minoru Kusaba , Megumi Iwayama , Ryo Yoshida

Factor modeling is a powerful statistical technique that permits to capture the common dynamics in a large panel of data with a few latent variables, or factors, thus alleviating the curse of dimensionality. Despite its popularity and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-03 Varlam Kutateladze

Functional times series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. This paper deals with the functional autoregressive model of order 1 and the autoregression bootstrap for smooth functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Johannes T. N. Krebs , Jürgen E. Franke

Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) is a simple yet powerful technique for non-parametric regression whose computation amounts to solving a linear system. This system is usually dense and highly ill-conditioned. In addition, the dimensions of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Haim Avron , Kenneth L. Clarkson , David P. Woodruff
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