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This paper demonstrates the advantages of sharing information about unknown features of covariates across multiple model components in various nonparametric regression problems including multivariate, heteroscedastic, and semi-continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Antonio R. Linero , Debajyoti Sinha , Stuart R. Lipsitz

Mixture autoregressive (MAR) models provide a flexible way to model time series with predictive distributions which depend on the recent history of the process and are able to accommodate asymmetry and multimodality. Bayesian inference for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

Spatial confounding is a common issue in spatial regression models, occurring when spatially varying covariates correlate with the spatial effect included in the model. This dependence, particularly at high spatial frequencies, can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Isa Marques , Paul F. V. Wiemann

The prevalence of multivariate space-time data collected from monitoring networks and satellites, or generated from numerical models, has brought much attention to multivariate spatio-temporal statistical models, where the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Huang Huang , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

Undirected graphical models are a key component in the analysis of complex observational data in a large variety of disciplines. In many of these applications one is interested in estimating the undirected graphical model underlying a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

We develop a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model with multivariate stochastic volatility that is capable of handling vast dimensional information sets. Three features are introduced to permit reliable estimation of the model. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-12 Gregor Kastner , Florian Huber

Datasets containing both categorical and continuous variables are frequently encountered in many areas, and with the rapid development of modern measurement technologies, the dimensions of these variables can be very high. Despite the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Wang , Zhongqing Yang , Xinyang Yu

Many modern spatial models express the stochastic variation component as a basis expansion with random coefficients. Low rank models, approximate spectral decompositions, multiresolution representations, stochastic partial differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Stephen Becker

The integration of physical relationships into stochastic models is of major interest e.g. in data assimilation. Here, a multivariate Gaussian random field formulation is introduced, which represents the differential relations of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-14 Rüdiger Hewer , Petra Friederichs , Andreas Hense , Martin Schlather

We consider unsupervised classification by means of a latent multinomial variable which categorizes a scalar response into one of L components of a mixture model. This process can be thought as a hierarchical model with first level…

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

Disease maps display the spatial pattern in disease risk, so that high-risk clusters can be identified. The spatial structure in the risk map is typically represented by a set of random effects, which are modelled with a conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Duncan Lee

This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Filiz Karaman , Han Lin Shang

Air pollution is a great concern because of its impact on human health and on the environment. Statistical models play an important role in improving knowledge of this complex spatio-temporal phenomenon and in supporting public agencies and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Michela Cameletti , Rosaria Ignaccolo , Stefano Bande

The Stochastic Backscatter Model involves the generation of a set of random variables characterised by prescribed correlations in space and time. These variables are obtained by smoothing an initially uncorrelated random field, which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Angelo Passariello

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Estimating covariance parameters for multivariate spatial Gaussian random fields is computationally challenging, as the number of parameters grows rapidly with the number of variables, and likelihood evaluation requires operations of order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Gabriel Riffo , Xavier Emery

Understanding how environmental drivers relate to vegetation condition motivates spatially varying regression models, but estimating a separate coefficient surface for every predictor can yield noisy patterns and poor interpretability when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Qishi Zhan , Cheng-Han Yu , Yuchi Chen , Zhikang Dong , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi

The current availability of soil moisture data over large areas comes from satellite remote sensing technologies (i.e., radar-based systems), but these data have coarse resolution and often exhibit large spatial information gaps. Where data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Danny Rorabaugh , Mario Guevara , Ricardo Llamas , Joy Kitson , Rodrigo Vargas , Michela Taufer

Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with complex dependency structures is a challenging task but can be simplified by assuming that the original variables are generated from independent latent components. If these components are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Mika Sipilä , Claudia Cappello , Sandra De Iaco , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen