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In this paper we study a general optimal liquidation problem with a control-dependent stopping time which is the first time the stock holding becomes zero or a fixed terminal time, whichever comes first. We prove a stochastic maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Riccardo Cesari , Harry Zheng

We present a solution to an optimal stopping problem for a process with a wide-class of novel dynamics. The dynamics model the support/resistance line concept from financial technical analysis.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-30 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-26 Tim Leung , Hongzhong Zhang

We present a methodology for obtaining explicit solutions to infinite time horizon optimal stopping problems involving general, one-dimensional, It\^o diffusions, payoff functions that need not be smooth and state-dependent discounting.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Timothy C. Johnson

Robbins' problem of optimal stopping asks one to minimise the expected {\it rank} of observation chosen by some nonanticipating stopping rule. We settle a conjecture regarding the {\it value} of the stopped variable under the rule optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov

Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

It is known that the decision to purchase an annuity may be associated to an optimal stopping problem. However, little is known about optimal strategies, if the mortality force is a generic function of time and if the `subjective' life…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-13 Tiziano De Angelis , Gabriele Stabile

The problem of optimal stopping with finite horizon in discrete time is considered in view of maximizing the expected gain. The algorithm proposed in this paper is completely nonparametric in the sense that it uses observed data from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Michael Kohler , Harro Walk

We consider a class of time-inhomogeneous optimal stopping problems and we provide sufficient conditions on the data of the problem that guarantee monotonicity of the optimal stopping boundary. In our setting, time-inhomogeneity stems not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Alessandro Milazzo

In this paper we consider a method of solving optimal stopping problems in discrete and continuous time based on their dual representation. A novel and generic simulation-based optimization algorithm not involving nested simulations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Denis Belomestny

We consider a class of discretionary stopping problems within the $G$-framework. We first establish the well-definedness of the stopping problem under the $G$-expectation, by showing the quasi-continuity of the stopped process. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Xin Guo , Chen Pan , Shige Peng

Inspired by recent work of P.-L. Lions on conditional optimal control, we introduce a problem of optimal stopping under bounded rationality: the objective is the expected payoff at the time of stopping, conditioned on another event. For…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Marcel Nutz , Yuchong Zhang

For an infinite-horizon continuous-time optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, we look for an optimal equilibrium, which generates larger values than any other equilibrium does on the entire state space. When the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

We study a maturity randomization technique for approximating optimal control problems. The algorithm is based on a sequence of control problems with random terminal horizon which converges to the original one. This is a generalization of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Bruno Bouchard , Nicole El Karoui , Nizar Touzi

This paper explores continuous-time and state-space optimal stopping problems from a reinforcement learning perspective. We begin by formulating the stopping problem using randomized stopping times, where the decision maker's control is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Jodi Dianetti , Giorgio Ferrari , Renyuan Xu

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under G-expectation framework. We first define a new kind of random times, called G-stopping times, which is suitable for this problem. For the discrete time case with finite horizon, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Hanwu Li

In a classical optimal stopping problem the aim is to maximize the expected value of a functional of a diffusion evaluated at a stopping time. This note considers optimal stopping problems beyond this paradigm. We study problems in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson , Matthew Zeng