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Quantitative analysis of soccer players' passing ability focuses on descriptive statistics without considering the players' real contribution to the passing and ball possession strategy of their team. Which player is able to help the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-12 Laszlo Gyarmati , Rade Stanojevic

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

In this short paper, we evaluate the performance of three well-known Machine Learning techniques for predicting the impact of a post in Facebook. Social medias have a huge influence in the social behaviour. Therefore to develop an automatic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Emmanuel Sam , Sergey Yarushev , Sebastián Basterrech , Alexey Averkin

In all competitions where results are based upon an individual's performance the question of whether the outcome is a consequence of skill or luck arises. We explore this question through an analysis of a large dataset of approximately one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Joseph D. O'Brien , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan

Sports betting's recent federal legalisation in the USA coincides with the golden age of machine learning. If bettors can leverage data to reliably predict the probability of an outcome, they can recognise when the bookmaker's odds are in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Conor Walsh , Alok Joshi

Evaluating a soccer player's performance can be challenging due to the high costs and small margins involved in recruitment decisions. Raw observational statistics further complicate an accurate individual skill assessment as they do not…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-10 Alexandre Andorra , Maximilian Göbel

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

This paper presents a novel approach for optimizing betting strategies in sports gambling by integrating Von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility Theory, deep learning techniques, and advanced formulations of the Kelly Criterion. By…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Vélez Jiménez , Román Alberto , Lecuanda Ontiveros , José Manuel , Edgar Possani

Kernel methods represent one of the most powerful tools in machine learning to tackle problems expressed in terms of function values and derivatives due to their capability to represent and model complex relations. While these methods show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Zoltan Szabo

This paper presents a groundbreaking model for forecasting English Premier League (EPL) player performance using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). We evaluate Ridge regression, LightGBM and CNNs on the task of predicting upcoming player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Daniel Frees , Pranav Ravella , Charlie Zhang

With an exploding global market and the recent introduction of online cash prize tournaments, fantasy sports contests are quickly becoming a central part of the social gaming and sports industries. For sports fans and online media…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-07 Christopher Musco , Maxim Sviridenko , Justin Thaler

Several predictive algorithms are described. Highlighted are variants that make predictions by superposing fields associated to the training data instances. They operate seamlessly with categorical, continuous, and mixed data. Predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Cristian Alb

The football transfer market is a complex, dynamic environment in which clubs compete to acquire players who strengthen their squads. While several frameworks estimate a player's worth, a comprehensive approach that captures both squad…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-15 Tathagata Basu , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

Injuries have a great impact on professional soccer, due to their large influence on team performance and the considerable costs of rehabilitation for players. Existing studies in the literature provide just a preliminary understanding of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Alessio Rossi , Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia , Marcello Iaia , Javier Fernandez , Daniel Medina

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

This paper presents a study on the prediction of outcomes in matches of the electronic game League of Legends (LoL) using machine learning techniques. With the aim of exploring the ability to predict real-time results, considering different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Jailson B. S. Junior , Claudio E. C. Campelo

In this paper, we present a novel approach for optimising long-term tactical and strategic decision-making in football (soccer) by encapsulating events in a league environment across a given time frame. We model the teams' objectives for a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

We show that the Brier game of prediction is mixable and find the optimal learning rate and substitution function for it. The resulting prediction algorithm is applied to predict results of football and tennis matches. The theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-02 Vladimir Vovk , Fedor Zhdanov

Function plays an important role in mathematics and many science branches. As the fast development of computer technology, more and more study on computational function analysis, e.g., Fast Fourier Transform, Wavelet Transform, Curve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Changlin Wan , Zhongzhi Shi