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In this paper we introduce a new parametric distribution, the Mixed Tempered Stable. It has the same structure of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures but the normality assumption leaves place to a semi-heavy tailed distribution. We show that,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-30 Edit Rroji , Lorenzo Mercuri

Autoregressive models use chain rule to define a joint probability distribution as a product of conditionals. These conditionals need to be normalized, imposing constraints on the functional families that can be used. To increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Chenlin Meng , Lantao Yu , Yang Song , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

This paper studies least-square regression penalized with partly smooth convex regularizers. This class of functions is very large and versatile allowing to promote solutions conforming to some notion of low-complexity. Indeed, they force…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Samuel Vaiter , Gabriel Peyré , Jalal M. Fadili

We derive generalization error bounds for stationary univariate autoregressive (AR) models. We show that imposing stationarity is enough to control the Gaussian complexity without further regularization. This lets us use structural risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-06 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Numerous applications of machine learning involve representing probability distributions over high-dimensional data. We propose autoregressive quantile flows, a flexible class of normalizing flow models trained using a novel objective based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Phillip Si , Allan Bishop , Volodymyr Kuleshov

We propose a compartmental model for epidemiology wherein the population is split into groups with either comply or refuse to comply with protocols designed to slow the spread of a disease. Parallel to the disease spread, we assume that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We study stability of the eigenvalues of the generator of a one dimensional reversible diffusion process satisfying some natural conditions. The proof is based on Stein's method. In particular, these results are applied to the Normal…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Jordan Serres

Diffusion models accomplish remarkable success in data generation tasks across various domains. However, the iterative sampling process is computationally expensive. Consistency models are proposed to learn consistency functions to map from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Yiding Chen , Yiyi Zhang , Owen Oertell , Wen Sun

Here, we consider an SIS epidemic model where the individuals are distributed on several distinct patches. We construct a stochastic model and then prove that it converges to a deterministic model as the total population size tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 T. Yeo

Acyclic preferences recently appeared as an elegant way to model many distributed systems. An acyclic instance admits a unique stable configuration, which can reveal the performance of the system. In this paper, we give the statistical…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2008-09-05 Fabien Mathieu , Gheorghe Postelnicu , Julien Reynier

A retrovirus dynamic model is proposed. We pay attention to the case when viral pathogenicity is low and the infected cells are able to reproduce. Using Lyapunov function method we study stability properties of an inner equilibrium of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Andrei Korobeinikov , Alexander Rezounenko

Divergence-form operators with random coefficients homogenize over large scales. Over the last decade, an intensive research effort focused on turning this asymptotic statement into quantitative estimates. The goal of this note is to review…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

We propose a parameterization of a nonlinear dynamic controller based on the recurrent equilibrium network, a generalization of the recurrent neural network. We derive constraints on the parameterization under which the controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Neelay Junnarkar , He Yin , Fangda Gu , Murat Arcak , Peter Seiler

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

Self-similarity of systems is very popular and intensively developing field during last decades. To this field belong so-called stable distributions and their generalization. In Klebanov and Sl\'amov\'a (2014) there was given an approach to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová , Ashot Kakosyan , Gregory Temnov

We derive a sufficient condition for stability in probability of an equilibrium of a randomly perturbed map in ${\mathbb R}^d$. This condition can be used to stabilize weakly unstable equilibria by random forcing. Analytical results on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Pawel Hitczenko , Georgi S. Medvedev

We consider a generic nonlinear extension of May's 1972 model by including all higher-order terms in the expansion around the chosen fixed point (placed at the origin) with random Gaussian coefficients. The ensuing analysis reveals that as…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-10 Sirio Belga Fedeli , Yan V Fyodorov , J. R. Ipsen

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci
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