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The ongoing explosion of genome sequence data is transforming how we reconstruct and understand the histories of biological systems. Across biological scales, from individual cells to populations and species, trees-based models provide a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Yun Deng , Shing H. Zhan , Yulin Zhang , Chao Zhang , Bingjie Chen

Longitudinal molecular data of rapidly evolving viruses and pathogens provide information about disease spread and complement traditional surveillance approaches based on case count data. The coalescent is used to model the genealogy that…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-07 Lorenzo Cappello , Julia A. Palacios

We introduce a modified spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process to model the ancestry of individuals in a population occupying a continuous spatial habitat divided into two areas by a sharp discontinuity of the dispersal rate and effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Raphael Forien , Harald Ringbauer , Graham Coop

Large-scale statistical analysis of data sets associated with genome sequences plays an important role in modern biology. A key component of such statistical analyses is the computation of $p$-values and confidence bounds for statistics…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-06 Peter J. Bickel , Nathan Boley , James B. Brown , Haiyan Huang , Nancy R. Zhang

Census data provide detailed information about population characteristics at a coarse resolution. Nevertheless, fine-grained, high-resolution mappings of population counts are increasingly needed to characterize population dynamics and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Guillaume Derval , Frédéric Docquier , Pierre Schaus

We derive a Poisson random field model for population site polymorphisms differences within and between two species that share a relatively recent common ancestor. The model can be either equilibrium or time inhomogeneous. We first consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Amei Amei , Stanley Sawyer

We provide a general mathematical framework based on the theory of graphical models to study admixture graphs. Admixture graphs are used to describe the ancestral relationships between past and present populations, allowing for population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-31 Samuele Soraggi , Carsten Wiuf

Data on historical populations often extends no further than numbers of people by broad age-sex group, with nothing on numbers of births or deaths. Demographers studying these populations have experimented with methods that use the data on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 John Bryant , Tahu Kukutai

In an extant population, how much information do extant individuals provide on the pedigree of their ancestors? Recent work by Kim, Mossel, Ramnarayan and Turner (2020) studied this question under a number of simplifying assumptions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-29 Elchanan Mossel , David Vulakh

We analyse a model consisting of a population of individuals which is subdivided into a finite set of demes, each of which has a fixed but differing number of individuals. The individuals can reproduce, die and migrate between the demes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-20 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane

The coalescent is a stochastic process representing ancestral lineages in a population undergoing neutral genetic drift. Originally defined for a well-mixed population, the coalescent has been adapted in various ways to accommodate spatial,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-02 Benjamin Allen , Alex McAvoy

We address the problem of performing regression while ensuring demographic parity, even without access to sensitive attributes during inference. We present a general-purpose post-processing algorithm that, using accurate estimates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-23 Evgenii Chzhen , Mohamed Hebiri , Gayane Taturyan

The coalescent revolutionised theoretical population genetics, simplifying, or making possible for the first time, many analyses, proofs, and derivations, and offering crucial insights about the way in which the structure of data in samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Peter Donnelly , Stephen Leslie

Mounting evidence suggests that natural populations can harbor extensive fitness diversity with numerous genomic loci under selection. It is also known that genealogical trees for populations under selection are quantifiably different from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-04 Adel Dayarian , Boris I Shraiman

Complete genome sequences contain valuable information about natural selection, but extracting this information for short, widely scattered noncoding elements remains a challenging problem. Here we introduce a new computational method for…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 Ilan Gronau , Leonardo Arbiza , Jaaved Mohammed , Adam Siepel

Covariance matrix estimation is a fundamental statistical task in many applications, but the sample covariance matrix is sub-optimal when the sample size is comparable to or less than the number of features. Such high-dimensional settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Huiqin Xin , Sihai Dave Zhao

Recovery of population size history from molecular sequence data is an important problem in population genetics. Inference commonly relies on a coalescent model linking the population size history to genealogies. The high computational cost…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 James E. Johndrow , Julia A. Palacios

Samples of multiple complete genome sequences contain vast amounts of information about the evolutionary history of populations, much of it in the associations among polymorphisms at different loci. Current methods that take advantage of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-08 Daniel B. Weissman , Oskar Hallatschek

Recently-developed genotype imputation methods are a powerful tool for detecting untyped genetic variants that affect disease susceptibility in genetic association studies. However, existing imputation methods require individual-level…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-15 Xiaoquan Wen , Matthew Stephens

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov