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We present a framework to calculate the cascade size evolution for a large class of cascade models on random network ensembles in the limit of infinite network size. Our method is exact and applies to network ensembles with almost arbitrary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Rebekka Burkholz , Frank Schweitzer

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) can be used to model complex dynamical industrial systems. The counterpart of this modeling capability is their simulation cost, which makes reliability assessment untractable with standard…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-08 Guillaume Chennetier , Hassane Chraibi , Anne Dutfoy , Josselin Garnier

Intuitively, sampling is likely to be more efficient for prevalence estimation, if the cases (or positives) have a relatively higher representation in the sample than in the population. In case the virus is transmitted via personal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Li-Chun Zhang

Many real-world phenomena can be modelled as dynamical processes on networks, a prominent example being the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Mean-field approximations are a widely used tool to analyse such dynamical processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Jonathan A. Ward , Gábor Timár , Péter L. Simon

We consider local Markov chain Monte-Carlo algorithms for sampling from the weighted distribution of independent sets with activity $\l$, where the weight of an independent set $I$ is $\l^{|I|}$. A recent result has established that Gibbs…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Dror Weitz , Nicholas Wormald

Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) proposals that achieve reasonable acceptance rates and mixing are notoriously difficult to design in most applications. Inspired by recent advances in deep neural network-based normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-28 Laurence Davies , Robert Salomone , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

Our goal in this paper is to develop a practical framework for obtaining a uniform sample of users in an online social network (OSN) by crawling its social graph. Such a sample allows to estimate any user property and some topological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Minas Gjoka , Maciej Kurant , Carter T. Butts , Athina Markopoulou

One of the most significant current challenges in large-scale online social networks, is to establish a concise and coherent method able to collect and summarize data. Sampling the content of an Online Social Network (OSN) plays an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-07-07 C. A. Piña-García , Dongbing Gu

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

This paper applies probabilistic model checking techniques for discrete Markov chains to inference in Bayesian networks. We present a simple translation from Bayesian networks into tree-like Markov chains such that inference can be reduced…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Bahare Salmani , Joost-Pieter Katoen

This work is motivated by the challenges of applying the sample average approximation (SAA) method to multistage stochastic programming with an unknown continuous-state Markov process. While SAA is widely used in static and two-stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Hyuk Park , Grani A. Hanasusanto

Motivated by the analysis of social networks, we study a model of random networks that has both a given degree distribution and a tunable clustering coefficient. We consider two types of growth processes on these graphs: diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

Randomized experiments are widely used to estimate causal effects across a variety of domains. However, classical causal inference approaches rely on critical independence assumptions that are violated by network interference, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Mayleen Cortez , Matthew Eichhorn , Christina Lee Yu

Discriminative Random Walks (DRWs) are a simple yet powerful tool for semi-supervised node classification, but their theoretical foundations remain fragmentary. We revisit DRWs through the lens of information geometry, treating the family…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Masanari Kimura

One of the most influential recent results in network analysis is that many natural networks exhibit a power-law or log-normal degree distribution. This has inspired numerous generative models that match this property. However, more recent…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-09-01 Isabelle Stanton , Ali Pinar

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

Most successful applications of deep learning involve similar training and test conditions. However, tasks such as biological sequence design involve searching for sequences that improve desirable properties beyond previously known values,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Sophia Hager , Aleem Khan , Andrew Wang , Nicholas Andrews

This paper proposes an attributed network growth model. Despite the knowledge that individuals use limited resources to form connections to similar others, we lack an understanding of how local and resource-constrained mechanisms explain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Harshay Shah , Suhansanu Kumar , Hari Sundaram

Formation and fragmentation of networks is typically studied using percolation theory, but most previous research has been restricted to studying a phase transition in cluster size, examining the emergence of a giant component. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Dane Taylor , Daniel B. Larremore

Monte Carlo approaches have recently been proposed to quantify connectivity in neuronal networks. The key problem is to sample from the conditional distribution of a single neuronal spike train, given the activity of the other neurons in…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Yuriy Mishchenko , Liam Paninski