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We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

A generalization of the Cucker-Smale model for collective animal behaviour is investigated. The model is formulated as a system of delayed stochastic differential equations. It incorporates two additional processes which are present in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-07-17 Radek Erban , Jan Haskovec , Yongzheng Sun

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Noise-induced dynamics of a prototypical bistable system with delayed feedback is studied theoretically and numerically. For small noise and magnitude of the feedback, the problem is reduced to the analysis of the two-state model with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. S. Tsimring , A. Pikovsky

Time evolution equations for dynamical systems can often be derived from generating functionals. Examples are Newton's equations of motion in classical dynamics which can be generated within the Lagrange or the Hamiltonian formalism. We…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-23 Claudius Gros

The spiking properties of a subcritical Hopf oscillator with a time delayed nonlinear feedback is investigated. Finite time delay is found to significantly affect both the statistics and the fine structure of the spiking behavior. These…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Gautam C Sethia , Abhijit Sen

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

In this paper, a stage structured predator-prey model with general nonlinear type of functional response is established and analyzed. The state-dependent time delay (hereafter SDTD) is the time taken from predator's birth to its maturity,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Qianqian Zhang , Yuan Yuan , Yunfei Lv , Shengqiang Liu

We study non-equilibrium statistical mechanics of a Gaussian dynamical system and compute in closed form the large deviation functionals describing the fluctuations of the entropy production observable with respect to the reference state…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Vojkan Jaksic , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

High-dimensional chaos displayed by multi-component systems with a single time-delayed feedback is shown to be accessible to time series analysis of a scalar variable only. The mapping of the original dynamics onto scalar time-delay systems…

Time delays, modelling the process of intracellular gene expression, have been shown to have important impacts on the dynamics of pattern formation in reaction-diffusion systems. In particular, past work has shown that such time delays can…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-06-28 Alec Sargood , Eamonn A. Gaffney , Andrew L. Krause

We present an end-to-end statistical framework for personalized, accurate, and minimally invasive modeling of female reproductive hormonal patterns. Reconstructing and forecasting the evolution of hormonal dynamics is a challenging task,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Iñigo Urteaga , Tristan Bertin , Theresa M. Hardy , David J. Albers , Noémie Elhadad

Real-world systems can be strongly influenced by time delays occurring in self-coupling interactions, due to unavoidable finite signal propagation velocities. When the delays become significantly long, complicated high-dimensional phenomena…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-08 Serhiy Yanchuk , Giovanni Giacomelli

In oscillatory reaction-diffusion systems, time-delay feedback can lead to the instability of uniform oscillations with respect to formation of standing waves. Here, we investigate how the presence of additive, Gaussian white noise can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-17 Michael Stich , Amit K Chattopadhyay

Functional evolution equations are used in the modeling of numerous physical processes. In this work, our main tool is perturbation theory of strongly continuous semigroups. The advantage of this technique is that one can provide functional…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ismail T. Huseynov , Nazim I. Mahmudov

Stochastic processes with temporal delay play an important role in science and engineering whenever finite speeds of signal transmission and processing occur. However, an exact mathematical analysis of their dynamics and thermodynamics is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-02 Viktor Holubec , Artem Ryabov , Sarah A. M. Loos , Klaus Kroy

In this research, we present a generalized quasispecies model in which population growth is governed by an arbitrary nonlinear function incorporating time delays. We begin by demonstrating that, under the constant population constraint, the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nolbert Morales , Edward A. Turner

A delayed, discrete-time, prey-predator model with Allee effects imposed on prey and predator populations is defined, and dynamics of the system is characterized computationally. The parametric conditions for local asymptotic stability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-27 Sujay Goldar , Sk. Sarif Hassan

Compartment models with delay terms are widely used across a range of disciplines. The motivation to include delay terms varies across different contexts. In epidemiological and pharmacokinetic models, the delays are often used to represent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Christopher N. Angstmann , Anna V. McGann , Zhuang Xu

Dynamical systems can autonomously adapt their organization so that the required target dynamics is reproduced. In the previous Rapid Communication [Phys. Rev. E 90,030901(R) (2014)], it was shown how such systems can be designed using…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-04 Pablo Kaluza , Alexander S. Mikhailov