Related papers: Ergodicity and diffusivity of Markovian order book…
It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the…
This paper provides a general and abstract approach to approximate ergodic regimes of Markov and Feller processes. More precisely, we show that the recursive algorithm presented in Lamberton & Pages (2002) and based on simulation algorithms…
This paper develops a theoretical mesoscopic model of the limit order book driven by multivariate Hawkes processes, designed to capture temporal self-excitation and the spatial propagation of order flow across price levels. In contrast to…
Intra-day price variations in financial markets are driven by the sequence of orders, called the order flow, that is submitted at high frequency by traders. This paper introduces a novel application of the Sequence Generative Adversarial…
Stock prices are influenced over time by underlying macroeconomic factors. Jumping out of the box of conventional assumptions about the unpredictability of the market noise, we modeled the changes of stock prices over time through the…
We present a model for price dynamics in the Automated Market Makers (AMM) setting. Within this framework, we propose a reference market price following a geometric Brownian motion. The AMM price is constrained by upper and lower bounds,…
In this work we introduce two variants of multivariate Hawkes models with an explicit dependency on various queue sizes aimed at modeling the stochastic time evolution of a limit order book. The models we propose thus integrate the…
We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of…
Dynamics of non-Markovian systems is a classic problem yet it attracts an everlasting activity in physics and beyond. A powerful tool for modeling such setups is the Generalized Langevin Equation, however, its analysis typically poses a…
In this chapter we review some recent results on the dynamics of price formation in financial markets and its relations with the efficient market hypothesis. Specifically, we present the limit order book mechanism for markets and we…
We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…
In this work, we propose an order book model with herd behavior. The proposed model is built upon two distinct approaches: a recent empirical study of the detailed order book records by Kanazawa et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 120, 138301] and…
Global oil price is an important factor in determining many economic variables in the world's economy. It is generally modeled as a stochastic process and have been studied through different techniques by comparing the historic time series…
We use standard physics techniques to model trading and price formation in a market under the assumption that order arrival and cancellations are Poisson random processes. This model makes testable predictions for the most basic properties…
We propose a very efficient method for pricing various types of lookback options under Markov models. We utilize the model-free representations of lookback option prices as integrals of first passage probabilities. We combine efficient…
We develop an empirical behavioural order-driven (EBOD) model, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. Price limit rules are introduced in the definition of relative price. The order placement process…
In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and…
The modeling of the limit order book is directly related to the assumptions on the behavior of real market participants. This paper is twofold. We first present empirical findings that lay the ground for two improvements to these models.The…
We construct a general procedure for the Quasi Likelihood Analysis applied to a multivariate point process on the real half line in an ergodic framework. More precisely, we assume that the stochastic intensity of the underlying model…
In this paper, we develop a Markovian model that deals with the volume offered at the best quote of an electronic order book. The volume of the first limit is a stochastic process whose paths are periodically interrupted and reset to a new…