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We study the local (in time) expansion of a continuous-time process and its conditional moments, including the process' characteristic function. The expansions are conducted by using the properties of the (time-extended) Ito signature, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Federico M. Bandi , Roberto Renò , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

This paper aims to provide a simple modelling of speculative bubbles and derive some quantitative properties of its dynamical evolution. Starting from a description of individual speculative behaviours, we build and study a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Sébastien Gadat , Laurent Miclo , Fabien Panloup

The Black-Scholes implied volatility skew at the money of SPX options is known to obey a power law with respect to the time-to-maturity. We construct a model of the underlying asset price process which is dynamically consistent to the power…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-29 Masaaki Fukasawa

We consider in this paper a general two-sided jump-diffusion risk model that allows for risky investments as well as for correlation between the two Brownian motions driving insurance risk and investment return. We first introduce the model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen

The purpose of this paper is to consider the exit-time problem for a finite-range Markov jump process, i.e, the distance the particle can jump is bounded independent of its location. Such jump diffusions are expedient models for anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Nathanial Burch , Marta D'Elia , R. B. Lehoucq

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

This paper develops power series expansions of a general class of moment functions, including transition densities and option prices, of continuous-time Markov processes, including jump--diffusions. The proposed expansions extend the ones…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-21 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee , Antonio Mele

Let $N(t)$ be the collection of particles alive at time $t$ in a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$, and for $u\in N(t)$, let $\mathbf{X}_u(t)$ be the position of particle $u$ at time $t$. For $\theta\in \mathbb{R}^d$, we define…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Haojie Hou , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We propose a general framework for studying jump-diffusion systems driven by both Gaussian noise and a jump process with state-dependent intensity. Of particular natural interest are the jump locations: the system evaluated at the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-28 Christopher E. Miles , James P. Keener

We derive expressions for the dispersion for two classes of random variables in Markov processes. Random variables like current and activity pertain to the first class, which is composed by random variables that change whenever a jump in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-13 Andre C. Barato , Udo Seifert

The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Levendorskii

This article studies the dynamics of a nonlinear dissipative reaction-diffusion equation with well-separated stable states which is perturbed by infinite-dimensional multiplicative L\'evy noise with a regularly varying component at…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Michael A. Högele

Motivated by a risk process with positive and negative premium rates, we consider a real-valued Markov additive process with finitely many background states. This additive process linearly increases or decreases while the background state…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Masakiyo Miyazawa

For a continuous-time Markov process, we characterize the law of the first jump location when started from an arbitrary initial distribution, in terms of the invariant distribution of an auxiliary Markov process. This could be of interest…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Andi Q. Wang , David Steinsaltz

Brownian motion whose infinitesimal variance changes according to a three-state continuous time Markov Chain is studied. This Markov Chain can be viewed as a telegraph process with one on state and two off states. We first derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Vladimir Pozdnyakov , L. Mark Elbroch , Chaoran Hu , Thomas Meyer , Jun Yan

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-04 Pablo Olivares , Matthew Cane

In this paper we discuss a closed-form approximation of the likelihood functions of an arbitrary diffusion process. The approximation is based on an exponential ansatz of the transition probability for a finite time step $\Delta t$, and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

Suppose that $(X_t)_{t \ge 0}$ is a one-dimensional Brownian motion with negative drift $-\mu$. It is possible to make sense of conditioning this process to be in the state $0$ at an independent exponential random time and if we kill the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Steven N. Evans , Alexandru Hening