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As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Online system identification algorithms are widely used for monitoring, diagnostics and control by continuously adapting to time-varying dynamics. Typically, these algorithms consider a model structure that lacks parsimony and offers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-28 Koen Classens , Rodrigo A. González , Tom Oomen

The problem of online change point detection is to detect abrupt changes in properties of time series, ideally as soon as possible after those changes occur. Existing work on online change point detection either assumes i.i.d data, focuses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

We consider the problem of mining signal temporal logical requirements from a dataset of regular (good) and anomalous (bad) trajectories of a dynamical system. We assume the training set to be labeled by human experts and that we have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Laura Nenzi , Simone Silvetti , Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi

The lack of anomaly detection methods during mechanized tunnelling can cause financial loss and deficits in drilling time. On-site excavation requires hard obstacles to be recognized prior to drilling in order to avoid damaging the tunnel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-22 Maximilian Trapp , Can Bogoclu , Tamara Nestorović , Dirk Roos

Small disturbances can trigger functional breakdowns in complex systems. A challenging task is to infer the structural cause of a disturbance in a networked system, soon enough to prevent a catastrophe. We present a graph neural network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-11 Edward Laurence , Charles Murphy , Guillaume St-Onge , Xavier Roy-Pomerleau , Vincent Thibeault

Learning the dynamic causal structure of time series is a challenging problem. Most existing approaches rely on distributional or structural invariance to uncover underlying causal dynamics, assuming stationary or partially stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Dezhi Yang , Qiaoyu Tan , Carlotta Domeniconi , Jun Wang , Lizhen Cui , Guoxian Yu

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

The high structural deficient rate poses serious risks to the operation of many bridges and buildings. To prevent critical damage and structural collapse, a quick structural health diagnosis tool is needed during normal operation or…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-10 Yizheng Liao , Anne S. Kiremidjian , Ram Rajagopal , Chin-Hsuing Loh

The discovery of structure from time series data is a key problem in fields of study working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Bellot , Kim Branson , Mihaela van der Schaar

Identifying the underlying reason for a failing dynamic process or otherwise anomalous observation is a fundamental challenge, yet has numerous industrial applications. Identifying the failure-causing sub-system using causal inference, one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Juliane Weilbach , Sebastian Gerwinn , Karim Barsim , Martin Fränzle

Network data has emerged as an active research area in statistics. Much of the focus of ongoing research has been on static networks that represent a single snapshot or aggregated historical data unchanging over time. However, most networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-23 Lata Kodali , Srijan Sengupta , Leanna House , William H. Woodall

Most of the time series in nature are a mixture of signals with deterministic and random dynamics. Thus the distinction between these two characteristics becomes important. Distinguishing between chaotic and aleatory signals is difficult…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-13 D. M. Mateos , L. Riveaud , P. W. Lamberti

Fault detection is a key challenge in the management of complex systems. In the context of SparkCognition's efforts towards predictive maintenance in large scale industrial systems, this problem is often framed in terms of anomaly detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Elad Liebman

There is growing interest in anticipating critical transitions in natural systems, often pursued through statistical detection of early warning signals associated with dynamical bifurcations. In stochastic dynamical systems, such signals…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Florian Suerhoff , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers , Christian Kuehn

Seasonal-trend decomposition is one of the most fundamental concepts in time series analysis that supports various downstream tasks, including time series anomaly detection and forecasting. However, existing decomposition methods rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Xiao He , Ye Li , Jian Tan , Bin Wu , Feifei Li

Identifying dependencies among variables in a complex system is an important problem in network science. Structural equation models (SEM) have been used widely in many fields for topology inference, because they are tractable and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-20 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

High-dimensional streaming data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in many fields. They often lie in multiple low-dimensional subspaces, and the manifold structures may change abruptly on the time scale due to pattern shift or occurrence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ruiyu Xu , Jianguo Wu , Xiaowei Yue , Yongxiang Li