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Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Changepoint detection is an important problem with applications across many application domains. There are many different types of changes that one may wish to detect, and a wide-range of algorithms and software for detecting them. However…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-24 Paul Fearnhead , Daniel Grose

Fine-grained time series data are crucial for accurate and timely online change detection. While both collective anomalies and change points can coexist in such data, their joint online detection has received limited attention. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Xian Chen , Weichi Wu

Detecting recent changepoints in time-series can be important for short-term prediction, as we can then base predictions just on the data since the changepoint. In many applications we have panel data, consisting of many related univariate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-20 Lawrence Bardwell , Idris Eckley , Paul Fearnhead , Simon Smith , Martin Spott

To segment a sequence of independent random variables at an unknown number of change-points, we introduce new procedures that are based on thresholding the likelihood ratio statistic. We also study confidence regions based on the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Xiao Fang , Jian Li , David Siegmund

Large-scale sequential data is often exposed to some degree of inhomogeneity in the form of sudden changes in the parameters of the data-generating process. We consider the problem of detecting such structural changes in a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 Florencia Leonardi , Peter Bühlmann

This paper presents a statistical analysis of structural changes in the Central England temperature series, one of the longest surface temperature records available. A changepoint analysis is performed to detect abrupt changes, which can be…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-19 Xueheng Shi , Claudie Beaulieu , Rebecca Killick , Robert Lund

E-science of photometric data requires automatic procedures and a precise recognition of periodic patterns to perform science as well as possible on large data. Analytical equations that enable us to set the best constraints to properly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-19 C. E. Ferreira Lopes , N. J. G. Cross , F. Jablonski

A global optimization framework, acronymed COMBEO (Change OfMeasure Based Evolutionary Optimization), is proposed. An important aspect in the development is a set of derivative-free additive directional terms obtainable through a change of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Saikat Sarkar , Debasish Roy

Change point detection has recently gained popularity as a method of detecting performance changes in software due to its ability to cope with noisy data. In this paper we present Hunter, an open source tool that automatically detects…

Changepoint detection identifies significant shifts in data sequences, making it important in areas like finance, genetics, and healthcare. The Optimal Partitioning algorithms efficiently detect these changes, using a penalty parameter to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Hocking

The aim of change-point detection is to identify behavioral shifts within time series data. This article focuses on scenarios where the data is derived from an inhomogeneous Poisson process or a marked Poisson process. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 C. Dion-Blanc , D. Hawat , E. Lebarbier , S. Robin

Linear relations, containing measurement errors in input and output data, are considered. Parameters of these so-called errors-in-variables models can change at some unknown moment. The aim is to test whether such an unknown change has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Michal Pešta

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We review recent developments in detecting and estimating multiple change-points in time series models with exogenous and endogenous regressors, panel data models, and factor models. This review differs from others in multiple ways: (1) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Otilia Boldea , Alastair R. Hall

Detecting and localizing change points in sequential data is of interest in many areas of application. Various notions of change points have been proposed, such as changes in mean, variance, or the linear regression coefficient. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Shimeng Huang , Jonas Peters , Niklas Pfister

Concerning machine learning, segmentation models can identify state changes within time series, facilitating the detection of transitions between normal and anomalous conditions. Specific techniques such as Change Point Detection (CPD),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Emilio Mastriani , Alessandro Costa , Federico Incardona , Kevin Munari , Sebastiano Spinello

We assume a nonparametric regression model where the signal is given by the sum of a piecewise constant function and a smooth function. To detect the change-points and estimate the regression functions, we propose PCpluS, a combination of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Florian Pein , Rajen D. Shah

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth
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