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Economically responsible mitigation of multivariate extreme risks-such as extreme rainfall over large areas, large simultaneous variations in many stock prices, or widespread breakdowns in transportation systems-requires assessing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Stéphane Lhaut , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

The estimation of the Extreme Value Index (EVI) is fundamental in extreme value analysis but suffers from high variance due to reliance on only a few extreme observations. We propose a control variates based transfer learning approach in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

We consider a single-period portfolio selection problem for an investor, maximizing the expected ratio of the portfolio utility and the utility of a best asset taken in hindsight. The decision rules are based on the history of stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Optimal execution of a portfolio have been a challenging problem for institutional investors. Traders face the trade-off between average trading price and uncertainty, and traditional methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Here,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

Portfolio optimization (PO) is a core tool in financial and operational decision-making, typically balancing expected profit and risk. In real-world applications, particularly in the energy sector, decision variables can be expressed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Isabel Barros Garcia , Jérémie Messud

Recent advancements in Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for modeling loss distributions have shown promise in developing hedging strategies in derivatives markets. A common approach in DRL involves learning the quantiles of loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-28 Parvin Malekzadeh , Zissis Poulos , Jacky Chen , Zeyu Wang , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis

Extreme value theory (EVT) provides an elegant mathematical tool for the statistical analysis of rare events. When data are collected from multiple population subgroups, because some subgroups may have less data available for extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

Financial portfolio management is one of the problems that are most frequently encountered in the investment industry. Nevertheless, it is not widely recognized that both Kelly Criterion and Risk Parity collapse into Mean Variance under…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Yoshiharu Sato

Risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) focus on extreme losses, where scarce tail data makes model error unavoidable. To hedge misspecification, one evaluates worst-case tail risk over an ambiguity set. Using Extreme Value…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Anand Deo

The present article explores the application of randomized control techniques in empirical asset pricing and performance evaluation. It introduces geometric random walks, a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, to construct flexible…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Cyril Bachelard , Apostolos Chalkis , Vissarion Fisikopoulos , Elias Tsigaridas

This paper develops a unified framework that integrates behavioral distortions into rational portfolio optimization by extracting implied probability weighting functions (PWFs) from optimal portfolios modeled under Gaussian and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-08 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali M. Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Investment approaches in financial instruments have been varied and often produce unpredictable results. Many investors in the earlier days of investment banking suffered catastrophical losses due to poor strategy and lack of understanding…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-10-04 Murphy Choy

We provided proof here that coefficient of variation (CV) is a direct measure of risk using an equation that has been derived here for the first time. We also presented a method to generate a stock CV based on return that strongly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Julius O. Campeciño

The Solvency II Directive and Solvency Assessment and Management (the South African equivalent) give a Solvency Capital Requirement which is based on a 99.5% Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculation. This calculation involves aggregating individual…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe , Darren Steven , Martinette Pretorius

We study stochastic dominance between portfolios of independent and identically distributed (iid) extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) Pareto random variables. With the notion of majorization order, we show that a more diversified…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Ruodu Wang , Zhenfeng Zou

This article is the term paper of the course Investments. We mainly focus on modeling long-term investment decisions of a typical utility-maximizing individual, with features of Chinese stock market in perspective. We adopt an OR based…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-28 Yiran Sheng , Ruokun Huang

For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider several multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-20 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano d'Addona , Svetlozar T. Rachev

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

In this paper, we introduce EvoPort, a novel evolutionary portfolio optimization method that leverages stochastic exploration over a spectrum of investment pipeline depths. From raw equity data, we employ a randomized feature generation…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-11 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Thi Hau