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In this thesis, the tail properties of multivariate Archimedean copulas are investigated using known representation theorems involving L1-norm symmetric distributions and the Williamson d-transform. Several new results on the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Martin Larsson

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

Tail Gini functional is a measure of tail risk variability for systemic risks, and has many applications in banking, finance and insurance. Meanwhile, there is growing attention on aymptotic independent pairs in quantitative risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Zhaowen Wang , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li

Despite the fact that copulas are commonly considered as analytically smooth/regular objects, derivatives of copulas have to be handled with care. Triggered by a recently published result characterizing multivariate copulas via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Nicolas Dietrich , Wolfgang Trutschnig

Statistical modeling of high dimensional extremes remains challenging and has generally been limited to moderate dimensions. Understanding structural relationships among variables at their extreme levels is crucial both for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Mihyun Kim , Jeongjin Lee

We introduce a novel model for time-varying, asymmetric, tail-dependent copulas in high dimensions that incorporates both spectral dynamics and regularization. The dynamics of the dependence matrix' eigenvalues are modeled in a score-driven…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Koos B. Gubbels , Andre Lucas

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

Consider a random vector $U$, whose distribution function coincides in its upper tail with that of an Archimedean copula. We report the fact that the conditional distribution of $U$, conditional on one of its components, has under a mild…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Michael Falk , Simone Padoan , Florian Wisheckel

Most common parametric families of copulas are totally ordered, and in many cases they are also positively or negatively regression dependent and therefore they lead to monotone regression functions, which makes them not suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Arturo Erdely

This paper deals with a situation when one is interested in the dependence structure of a multidimensional response variable in the presence of a multivariate covariate. It is assumed that the covariate affects only the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-12 Marek Omelka , Šárka Hudecová , Natalie Neumeyer

In causal inference with ordinal outcomes, several interpretable estimands are functions of the probability that the potential outcome under one treatment is larger than that under another treatment for the same unit. This probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Peiyu He , Fan Li

So far, one-factor copulas induce conditional independence with respect to a latent factor. In this paper, we extend one-factor copulas to conditionally dependent models. This is achieved through new representations which allow to build new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-12 Nathan Uyttendaele , Gildas Mazo

This paper develops a general inferential framework for discrete copulas on finite supports in any dimension. The copula of a multivariate discrete distribution is defined as Csiszar's I-projection (i.e., the minimum-Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Gery Geenens , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

Dette, Siburg, and Stoimenov (2013) introduced a copula-based measure of dependence, which implies independence if it vanishes and is equal to 1 if one variable is a measurable function of the other. For continuous distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Mona Azadkia , Holger Dette