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Related papers: Stochastic Choice and Optimal Sequential Sampling

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We consider a sequential decision-making problem where an agent can take one action at a time and each action has a stochastic temporal extent, i.e., a new action cannot be taken until the previous one is finished. Upon completion, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 P Sharoff , Nishant A. Mehta , Ravi Ganti

A general theory of stochastic decision forests is developed to bridge two concepts of information flow: decision trees and refined partitions on the one side, filtrations from probability theory on the other. Instead of the traditional…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-12 E. Emanuel Rapsch

Temporal point processes have been widely applied to model event sequence data generated by online users. In this paper, we consider the problem of how to design the optimal control policy for point processes, such that the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Yichen Wang , Grady Williams , Evangelos Theodorou , Le Song

We consider the problem of online learning of optimal control for repeatedly operated systems in the presence of parametric uncertainty. During each round of operation, environment selects system parameters according to a fixed but unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Theja Tulabandhula

We demonstrate that the set of cost distributions under which the optimal strategy for maximizing compliance (or more generally, effort) in a binary choice environment is identical to the optimal strategy for maximizing the accuracy of the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-26 John W. Patty , Elizabeth Maggie Penn

The two-stage stochastic unit commitment problem has become an important tool to support decision-making under uncertainty in power systems. Representing the uncertainty by a large number of scenarios guarantees accurate results but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Yannick Werner , Juan Miguel Morales , Salvador Pineda , Line Roald , Sonja Wogrin

Consider the following multi-phase project management problem. Each project is divided into several phases. All projects enter the next phase at the same point chosen by the decision maker based on observations up to that point. Within each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hock Peng Chan , Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

We extend stochastic network optimization theory to treat networks with arbitrary sample paths for arrivals, channels, and mobility. The network can experience unexpected link or node failures, traffic bursts, and topology changes, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-07 Michael J. Neely

We consider a distribution logistics scenario where a shipping operator, managing a limited amount of resources, receives a stream of collection requests, issued by a set of customers along a booking time-horizon, that are referred to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Giovanni Giallombardo , Francesca Guerriero , Giovanna Miglionico

Strategic classification studies the problem where self-interested individuals or agents manipulate their response to obtain favorable decision outcomes made by classifiers, typically turning to dishonest actions when they are less costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ziyuan Huang , Lina Alkarmi , Mingyan Liu

We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the seller's problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Yannik Peeters , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

We study an optimal-control problem of polling systems with large switchover times, when a holding cost is incurred on the queues. In particular, we consider a stochastic network with a single server that switches between several buffers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yue Hu , Jing Dong , Ohad Perry

Recently there has been much work on selective sampling, an online active learning setting, in which algorithms work in rounds. On each round an algorithm receives an input and makes a prediction. Then, it can decide whether to query a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

In order to solve complex, long-horizon tasks, intelligent robots need to carry out high-level, abstract planning and reasoning in conjunction with motion planning. However, abstract models are typically lossy and plans or policies computed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Naman Shah , Deepak Kala Vasudevan , Kislay Kumar , Pranav Kamojjhala , Siddharth Srivastava

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

Many decision problems in economics, information technology, and industry can be transformed to an optimal stopping of adapted random vectors with some utility function over the set of Markov times with respect to filtration build by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

We study the problem of a planner who resolves risk-return trade-offs - like financial investment decisions - on behalf of a collective of agents with heterogeneous risk preferences. The planner's objective is a two-stage utility functional…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Anne G. Balter , Nikolaus Schweizer

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by "time…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-23 Daniel Chen , Weijie Zhong
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