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We implement nonparametric revealed-preference tests of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. We find that a majority of subjects' choices are consistent with the maximization of some utility function. They respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Federico Echenique , Taisuke Imai , Kota Saito

We study a dynamic random utility model that allows for consumption dependence. We axiomatically analyze this model and find insights that allow us to distinguish between behavior that arises due to consumption dependence and behavior that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-20 Christopher Turansick

We address combinatorial problems that can be formulated as minimization of a partially separable function of discrete variables (energy minimization in graphical models, weighted constraint satisfaction, pseudo-Boolean optimization, 0-1…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Alexander Shekhovtsov

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

Preference Inference involves inferring additional user preferences from elicited or observed preferences, based on assumptions regarding the form of the user's preference relation. In this paper we consider a situation in which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Nic Wilson , Anne-Marie George , Barry O'Sullivan

Consider the set of probability measures with given marginal distributions on the product of two complete, separable metric spaces, seen as a correspondence when the marginal distributions vary. In problems of optimal transport, continuity…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Mario Ghossoub , David Saunders

Cooperation and defection may be considered as two extreme responses to a social dilemma. Yet the reality is much less clear-cut. Between the two extremes lies an interval of ambivalent choices, which may be captured theoretically by means…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-02 Xiaojie Chen , Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc , Long Wang

We study approachability theory in the presence of constraints. Given a repeated game with vector payoffs, we characterize the pairs of sets (A,D) in the payoff space such that Player 1 can guarantee that the long-run average payoff…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Gaëtan Fournier , Eden Kuperwasser , Orin Munk , Eilon Solan , Avishay Weinbaum

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley

We study the persistence probability for some discrete-time, time-reversible processes. In particular, we deduce the persistence exponent in a number of examples: first, we deal with random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) in any dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

This paper builds a rule for decisionmaking from the physical behavior of single neurons, the well established neural circuitry of mutual inhibition, and the evolutionary principle of natural selection. No axioms are used in the derivation…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-21 Valdes Salvador , Gonzalo ValdesEdwards

We give a general formulation of the utility maximization problem under nondominated model uncertainty in discrete time and show that an optimal portfolio exists for any utility function that is bounded from above. In the unbounded case,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 Marcel Nutz

Let $\precsim$ be a reflexive binary relation on a topological space $(X, \tau )$. A pair $(u,v)$ of continuous real-valued functions on $(X, \tau )$ is said to be a {\em continuous representation} of $\precsim$ if, for all $x,y \in X$,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-14 Gianni Bosi , Asier Estevan

Bayesian decision theory outlines a rigorous framework for making optimal decisions based on maximizing expected utility over a model posterior. However, practitioners often do not have access to the full posterior and resort to approximate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

In this work we generalize standard Decision Theory by assuming that two outcomes can also be incomparable. Two motivating scenarios show how incomparability may be helpful to represent those situations where, due to lack of information,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Piero A. Bonatti , Marco Faella , Luigi Sauro

A dependent theory is a (first order complete theory) T which does not have the independence property. A main result here is: if we expand a model of T by the traces on it of sets definable in a bigger model then we preserve its being…

Logic · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Saharon Shelah

Understanding and quantifying causal relationships between variables is essential for reasoning about the physical world. In this work, we develop a resource-theoretic framework to do so. Here, we focus on the simplest nontrivial setting --…

Identifiability of parameters is an essential property for a statistical model to be useful in most settings. However, establishing parameter identifiability for Bayesian networks with hidden variables remains challenging. In the context of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-04 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Elena Stanghellini , Marco Valtorta

Our preferences depend on the circumstances in which we reveal them. We will introduce a dependency which allows us to illustrate the relation between the possibility of winning of particular candidates in a quantum election and the type of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski