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Hidden variables are ubiquitous in practical data analysis, and therefore modeling marginal densities and doing inference with the resulting models is an important problem in statistics, machine learning, and causal inference. Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Ilya Shpitser , Robin J. Evans , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

We derive an explicit link between Gaussian Markov random fields on metric graphs and graphical models, and in particular show that a Markov random field restricted to the vertices of the graph is, under mild regularity conditions, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

We propose an extension of the Contextual Graph Markov Model, a deep and probabilistic machine learning model for graphs, to model the distribution of edge features. Our approach is architectural, as we introduce an additional Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Daniele Atzeni , Federico Errica , Davide Bacciu , Alessio Micheli

Probabilistic graphical models, such as Markov random fields (MRF), exploit dependencies among random variables to model a rich family of joint probability distributions. Sophisticated inference algorithms, such as belief propagation (BP),…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Yifei Liu , Chao Chen , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

Ancestral graphs can encode conditional independence relations that arise in directed acyclic graph (DAG) models with latent and selection variables. However, for any ancestral graph, there may be several other graphs to which it is Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 R. Ayesha Ali , Thomas S. Richardson , Peter Spirtes

In many applications we have both observational and (randomized) interventional data. We propose a Gaussian likelihood framework for joint modeling of such different data-types, based on global parameters consisting of a directed acyclic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Alain Hauser , Peter Bühlmann

We present some nonparametric methods for graphical modeling. In the discrete case, where the data are binary or drawn from a finite alphabet, Markov random fields are already essentially nonparametric, since the cliques can take only a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-08 John Lafferty , Han Liu , Larry Wasserman

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , E. Emiel van Loon , Patrick Forré

Networks of dynamical systems play an important role in various domains and have motivated many studies on the control and analysis of linear dynamical networks. For linear network models considered in these studies, it is typically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Shengling Shi , Zhiyong Sun , Bart De Schutter

Differential graphical models are designed to represent the difference between the conditional dependence structures of two groups, thus are of particular interest for scientific investigation. Motivated by modern applications, this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Sen Na , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

This paper reviews recent advances in missing data research using graphical models to represent multivariate dependencies. We first examine the limitations of traditional frameworks from three different perspectives: \textit{transparency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Karthika Mohan , Judea Pearl

Educational systems have traditionally been evaluated using cross-sectional studies, namely, examining a pretest, posttest, and single intervention. Although this is a popular approach, it does not model valuable information such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-03 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

We introduce a novel class of labeled directed acyclic graph (LDAG) models for finite sets of discrete variables. LDAGs generalize earlier proposals for allowing local structures in the conditional probability distribution of a node, such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-12 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

A new class of graphical models capturing the dependence structure of events that occur in time is proposed. The graphs represent so-called local independences, meaning that the intensities of certain types of events are independent of some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Vanessa Didelez

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

Training generative models that capture rich semantics of the data and interpreting the latent representations encoded by such models are very important problems in un-/self-supervised learning. In this work, we provide a simple algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Samuel C. Hoffman , Payel Das , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Kahini Wadhawan , Prasanna Sattigeri

Graphs are a powerful data structure to represent relational data and are widely used to describe complex real-world data structures. Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) have been well-developed in the past years to mathematically model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Chenqing Hua , Sitao Luan , Qian Zhang , Jie Fu

We introduce Markov Random Geometric Graphs (MRGGs), a growth model for temporal dynamic networks. It is based on a Markovian latent space dynamic: consecutive latent points are sampled on the Euclidean Sphere using an unknown Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro