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A new Monte Carlo algorithm for phase-space sampling, named (MC)**3, is presented. It is based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques but at the same time incorporates prior knowledge about the target distribution in the form of suitable…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-12 Kevin Kroeninger , Steffen Schumann , Benjamin Willenberg

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Monte Carlo methods approximate integrals by sample averages of integrand values. The error of Monte Carlo methods may be expressed as a trio identity: the product of the variation of the integrand, the discrepancy of the sampling measure,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Fred J. Hickernell

Monte Carlo methods use random sampling to estimate numerical quantities which are hard to compute deterministically. One important example is the use in statistical physics of rapidly mixing Markov chains to approximately compute partition…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-12 Ashley Montanaro

We present a novel technique for tailoring Bayesian quadrature (BQ) to model selection. The state-of-the-art for comparing the evidence of multiple models relies on Monte Carlo methods, which converge slowly and are unreliable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Henry Chai , Jean-Francois Ton , Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

Sampling-based approaches are widely used in systems without analytic models to estimate risk or find optimal control. However, gathering sufficient data in such scenarios can be prohibitively costly. On the other hand, in many situations,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Zhuoyuan Wang , Takashi Tanaka , Yongxin Chen , Yorie Nakahira

This work introduces two Monte Carlo (MC)-based sampling methods, known as line sampling and subset simulation, to improve the performance of standard MC analyses in the context of asteroid impact risk assessment. Both techniques sample the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-28 Matteo Romano , Matteo Losacco , Camilla Colombo , Pierluigi Di Lizia

We develop Monte Carlo methods for sampling random states and corresponding bit strings in qubit systems. To this end, we derive exact probability density functions that yield the Porter-Thomas distribution in the limit of large systems. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Andreas Raab

As uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex models grows ever more important, the difficulty of their timely realizations highlights a need for more efficient numerical operations. Non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos methods are highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Konstantin Weise , Erik Müller , Lucas Poßner , Thomas R. Knösche

This project investigates the applicability of quasi-Monte Carlo methods to Euclidean lattice systems in order to improve the asymptotic error scaling of observables for such theories. The error of an observable calculated by averaging over…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-11-20 Andreas Ammon , Tobias Hartung , Karl Jansen , Hernan Leovey , Andreas Griewank , Micheal Müller-Preussker

In this paper we have used simulations to make a conjecture about the coverage of a $t$ dimensional subspace of a $d$ dimensional parameter space of size $n$ when performing $k$ trials of Latin Hypercube sampling. This takes the form…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Kevin Burrage , Pamela Burrage , Diane Donovan , Bevan Thompson

Monte Carlo simulations are widely employed to measure the physical properties of glass-forming liquids in thermal equilibrium. Combined with local Monte Carlo moves, the Metropolis algorithm can also be used to simulate the relaxation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-23 Ludovic Berthier , Federico Ghimenti Frédéric van Wijland

We establish a deterministic and stochastic spherical quasi-interpolation framework featuring scaled zonal kernels derived from radial basis functions on the ambient Euclidean space. The method incorporates both quasi-Monte Carlo and Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Zhengjie Sun , Mengyuan Lv , Xingping Sun

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

Applications · Statistics 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer

A novel theoretical and numerical framework for the estimation of Sobol sensitivity indices for models in which inputs are confined to a non-rectangular domain (e.g., in presence of inequality constraints) is developed. Two numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-18 S. Kucherenko , O. V. Klymenko , N. Shah

The paper presents an investigation of estimating treatment effect using different matching methods. The study proposed a new method which is computationally efficient and convenient in implication-'largest caliper matching' and compared…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-07 Sharif Mahmood

The quasi-Monte Carlo method is widely used in computational finance, whose efficiency strongly depends on the smoothness and effective dimension of the integrand. In this work, we investigate the combination of importance sampling and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Jiaxin Yu , Xiaoqun Wang

We propose a modified power method for computing the subdominant eigenvalue $\lambda_2$ of a matrix or continuous operator. Here we focus on defining simple Monte Carlo methods for its application. The methods presented use random walkers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-04 B. M. Rubenstein , J. E. Gubernatis , J. D. Doll