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The critical brain hypothesis posits that neural circuitry operates near criticality to reap the computational benefits of accessing a wide range of timescales. The theory of critical phenomena generally predicts heavy-tailed (power-law)…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-23 Jacob T. Crosser , Braden A. W. Brinkman

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

We investigate the communication sequences of millions of people through two different channels and analyze the fine grained temporal structure of correlated event trains induced by single individuals. By focusing on correlations between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-04 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész

Temporal inhomogeneities in event sequences of natural and social phenomena have been characterized in terms of interevent times and correlations between interevent times. The inhomogeneities of interevent times have been extensively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-20 Hang-Hyun Jo , Takayuki Hiraoka

Consider a generic data unit of random size L that needs to be transmitted over a channel of unit capacity. The channel availability dynamics is modeled as an i.i.d. sequence {A, A_i},i>0 that is independent of L. During each period of time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Jian Tan

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Gabjin Oh

The concept of temporal networks provides a framework to understand how the interaction between system components changes over time. In empirical communication data, we often detect non-Poissonian, so-called bursty behavior in the activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Takayuki Hiraoka , Naoki Masuda , Aming Li , Hang-Hyun Jo

In the post year 2000 era the technologies that facilitate human communication have rapidly multiplied. While the adoption of these technologies has hugely impacted the behaviour and sociality of people, specifically in urban but also in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-16 Kunal Bhattacharya , Kimmo Kaski

Statistical distributions with heavy tails are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena. Since the entries in heavy tail have disproportional significance, the knowledge of its exact shape is very important. Citations of scientific papers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Michael Golosovsky , Sorin Solomon

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In this thesis we contribute to the understanding of the pivotal role of the temporal dimension in networked social systems, previously neglected and now uncovered by the data revolution recently blossomed in this field. To this aim, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-15 Michele Starnini

Long ties, the social ties that bridge different communities, are widely believed to play crucial roles in spreading novel information in social networks. However, some existing network theories and prediction models indicate that long ties…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Ding Lyu , Yuan Yuan , Lin Wang , Xiaofan Wang , Alex Pentland

Over the last few decades power law distributions have been suggested as forming generative mechanisms in a variety of disparate fields, such as, astrophysics, criminology and database curation. However, fitting these heavy tailed…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-26 Colin S. Gillespie

It has been shown that some macroeconomic time series, especially those where outliers could be present, can be well modelled using heavy tailed distributions for the noise components. Methods for deciding when and where heavy-tailed models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. A. D. Aston

In this paper, we are analyzing the interactivity time, defined as the duration between two consecutive tasks such as sending emails, collecting friends and followers and writing comments in online social networks (OSNs). The distributions…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Norbert Blenn , Piet Van Mieghem

This paper provides an overview and critical analysis on the modeling and applications of the dynamics of human crowds, where social interactions can have an important influence on the behavioral dynamics of the crowd viewed as a living,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-21 Nicola Bellomo , Livio Gibelli , Nisrine Outada

Consider two stationary time series with heavy-tailed marginal distributions. We aim to detect whether they have a causal relation, that is, if a change in one causes a change in the other. Usual methods for causal discovery are not well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Juraj Bodik , Zbyněk Pawlas , Milan Paluš

The dynamics of a wide range of real systems, from email patterns to earthquakes, display a bursty, intermittent nature, characterized by short timeframes of intensive activity followed by long times of no or reduced activity. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kwang-Il Goh , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

We introduce cluster dynamical models of conflicts in which only the largest cluster can be involved in an action. This mimics the situations in which an attack is planned by a central body, and the largest attack force is used. We study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-01-19 Bosiljka Tadic , G. J. Rodgers