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The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-20 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

Various goodness-of-fit tests are designed based on the so-called information matrix equivalence: if the assumed model is correctly specified, two information matrices that are derived from the likelihood function are equivalent. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Qian M. Zhou

Kernel methods are powerful learning methodologies that allow to perform non-linear data analysis. Despite their popularity, they suffer from poor scalability in big data scenarios. Various approximation methods, including random feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Bharath Sriperumbudur , Nicholas Sterge

Kernel methods have been proven to be a powerful tool for the integration and analysis of highthroughput technologies generated data. Kernels offer a nonlinear version of any linear algorithm solely based on dot products. The kernelized…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-27 Mitja Briscik , Marie-Agnès Dillies , Sébastien Déjean

Information criteria have had a profound impact on modern ecological science. They allow researchers to estimate which probabilistic approximating models are closest to the generating process. Unfortunately, information criterion comparison…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Jose-Miguel Ponciano , Mark L Taper

The expected information gain is an important quality criterion of Bayesian experimental designs, which measures how much the information entropy about uncertain quantity of interest $\theta$ is reduced on average by collecting relevant…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Takeru Iwamoto

While the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) are powerful tools for model selection in linear regression, they are built on different prior assumptions and thereby apply to different data generation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 MB de Kock , HC Eggers

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

A simple criterion is presented for a practical construction of generalized moments that allow one to approach the theoretical Rao-Cramer limit for parameter estimation while avoiding the complexity of the maximum likelihood method in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Fyodor V. Tkachov

The Bayesian information criterion (BIC), defined as the observed data log likelihood minus a penalty term based on the sample size $N$, is a popular model selection criterion for factor analysis with complete data. This definition has also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-21 Jianhua Zhao , Changchun Shang , Shulan Li , Ling Xin , Philip L. H. Yu

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

In the study of complex physical and physiological systems represented by multivariate time series, an issue of great interest is the description of the system dynamics over a range of different temporal scales. While information-theoretic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Luca Faes , Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Giandomenico Nollo , Daniele Marinazzo

We propose a multiple imputation method based on principal component analysis (PCA) to deal with incomplete continuous data. To reflect the uncertainty of the parameters from one imputation to the next, we use a Bayesian treatment of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-20 Vincent Audigier , François Husson , Julie Josse

Selecting important spatial-dependent variables under the nonhomogeneous spatial Poisson process model is an important topic of great current interest. In this paper, we use the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Logarithm of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Guanyu Hu , Fred Huffer , Ming-Hui Chen

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is a powerful computational technique for finding the maximum likelihood estimates for parametric models when the data are not fully observed. The EM is best suited for situations where the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-14 Chanseok Park

We propose a Kronecker product model for correlation or covariance matrices in the large dimensional case. The number of parameters of the model increases logarithmically with the dimension of the matrix. We propose a minimum distance (MD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Christian M. Hafner , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

A general framework is that the estimators of a distribution are obtained by minimizing a function (the estimating function) and they are assessed through another function (the assessment function). The estimating and assessment functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Daniel Commenges , Cécile Proust-Lima , Cécilia Samieri , Benoit Liquet

This work studies estimation of sparse principal components in high dimensions. Specifically, we consider a class of estimators based on kernel PCA, generalizing the covariance thresholding algorithm proposed by Krauthgamer et al. (2015).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Michael J. Feldman , Theodor Misiakiewicz , Elad Romanov