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The absence of time-reversal symmetry is a fundamental property of many nonlinear time series. Here, we propose a new set of statistical tests for time series irreversibility based on standard and horizontal visibility graphs. Specifically,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-07 Jonathan F. Donges , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

In this work we propose a novel approach for modeling spatio-temporal data characterized by group structures. In particular, we extend classical mixed effect regression models by introducing a space-time nonparametric component, regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Marco F. De Sanctis , Eleonora Arnone , Francesca Ieva , Laura M. Sangalli

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is a fundamental unsupervised learning technique foruncovering latent structure in data by separating mixed signals into their independent sources. While substantial progress has been made in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yuwen Jiang

Spatio-temporal covariances are important for describing the spatio-temporal variability of underlying random processes in geostatistical data. For second-order stationary processes, there exist subclasses of covariance functions that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-05 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

Recent years have seen the development of many novel scoring tools for disease prognosis and prediction. To become accepted for use in clinical applications, these tools have to be validated on external data. In practice, validation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Matthias Schmid , Tim Friede , Nadja Klein , Leonie Weinhold

Missing data can significantly hamper standard time series analysis, yet they occur frequently in applications. In this paper, we introduce temporal Wasserstein imputation, a novel method for imputing missing data in time series. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Shuo-Chieh Huang , Tengyuan Liang , Ruey S. Tsay

A time-domain test for the assumption of second order stationarity of a functional time series is proposed. The test is based on combining individual cumulative sum tests which are designed to be sensitive to changes in the mean, variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

The analysis of nonlinear dynamics is an important issue in numerous fields of science. In this study, we propose a new method to analyze the time series data using persistent homology (PH). The key idea is the application of PH to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-04 Takashi Ichinomiya

We present an original and novel method based on random matrix approach that enables to distinguish the respective role of temporal autocorrelations inside given time series and cross correlations between various time series. The proposed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-18 Michal Sawa , Dariusz Grech

Eigenvalue analysis is a well-established tool for stability analysis of dynamical systems. However, there are situations where eigenvalues miss some important features of physical models. For example, in models of incompressible fluid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Howard C. Elman , David J. Silvester

We propose an efficient inference method for switching nonlinear dynamical systems. The key idea is to learn an inference network which can be used as a proposal distribution for the continuous latent variables, while performing exact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Zhe Dong , Bryan A. Seybold , Kevin P. Murphy , Hung H. Bui

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Complex phenomena can be better understood when broken down into a limited number of simpler "components". Linear statistical methods such as the principal component analysis and its variants are widely used across various fields of applied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-13 Iacopo Tirelli , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Andrea Ianiro , Stefano Discetti

Objective: Mixtures of temporally nonstationary signals are very common in biomedical applications. The nonstationarity of the source signals can be used as a discriminative property for signal separation. Herein, a semi-blind source…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Fahimeh Jamshidian-Tehrani , Reza Sameni , Christian Jutten

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

Detection of periodic patterns of interest within noisy time series data plays a critical role in various tasks, spanning from health monitoring to behavior analysis. Existing learning techniques often rely on labels or clean versions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Berken Utku Demirel , Christian Holz

Synchronization is an important dynamical phenomenon in coupled nonlinear systems, which has been studied extensively in recent years. However, analysis focused on individual orbits seems hard to extend to complex systems while a global…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-04 Jing Hu , Yueheng Lan